Mixed protocols: And the winner is...

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1 Mixed protocols: And the winner is... John H. erpstra Primatasys, nc. & amba-eam eptember ndustry onference Page 1

2 utline he erver and esktop Market Protocols and market share and Alternatives hanges in the wind onsumer olutions Where is the Money? ummary eptember ndustry onference Page 2

3 he erver Market 25 Host & erver nstalled Base eptember nits (millions) ear 2003 ndustry onference thers Linux nix M W etware ource:, 2002 Page 3

4 Market onclusions X and Linux are similar o we should add numbers! he number of installed X+Linux servers is just half of the number running M Windows /200X server M Windows /200x erver and its network protocols dominate the erver market. eptember ndustry onference Page 4

5 erver etwork Protocols act: ot every X server uses ew have Windows lients early every M Windows erver uses MB/ All have M Windows network clients xception is M Windows /200x servers that are used in a etware environment. s this representative of reality? eptember How is this changing? 2003 ndustry onference Page 5

6 ew erver rends What are market trends? How significant is the shift? s X/Linux making significant progress? What conclusions can be drawn? eptember ndustry onference Page 6

7 ew erver hipments % otal erver hipments eptember Percent 90.00% 80.00% 70.00% 60.00% 50.00% 40.00% 30.00% 20.00% 10.00% 0.00% ear 2003 ndustry onference Linux nix M W etware ource: Web/, 2002 Page 7

8 rend onclusions se of MB/ protocols is increasing X/Linux use of is in decline X/Linux growth will not out-pace MB/ usage We need to identify causes! eptember ndustry onference Page 8

9 Why? lient support is missing from Windows /200x? lients for M Windows are costly? MB/ is built in and ree s amba helping to kill off? s amba safe from threat? o we need to take action? eptember ndustry onference Page 9

10 esktop Protocol sage What about desktop platform trends? What about emerging platforms? s an option for the future? eptember ndustry onference Page 10

11 he esktop Market eptember nits (millions) esktop lient nstalled Base ear 2003 ndustry onference ther Linux Mac M Win32 ource:, 2002 Page 11

12 esktop onclusions ptimistic forecasts: ffer little hope for lient usage X/Linux forecasts are small compared with Windows and MB/ growth What threats are on the horizon for using platforms? Are there threats for MB/? eptember ndustry onference Page 12

13 and Alternatives etwork file sharing protocols eptember MB/ most used etware P lagging by a long way Alternatives ew data storage solutions QL based technologies bject oriented file systems Possible new proprietary technology? 2003 ndustry onference Page 13

14 isk actors ew Proprietary echnology Protected by government legislation ffectively creates a protected monopoly from the market leader nless government and industry specify open and free protocols ould threaten MB/ more than And amba could be at risk eptember ndustry onference Page 14

15 ounter trategies ew file sharing and protocol implementations that can be used across all desktop and server platforms Must obtain international standardization and adoption Must provide cost effective solutions for all users eptember ndustry onference Page 15

16 Action ow v4 deployment plan ncrease use across all platforms Particularly M Windows lients MB/ protocol extensions needed or better X platform support tandardization ssential Pro-Active onsumer rive eptember ndustry onference Page 16

17 onsumer olutions eptember Key focus of alternative file sharing protocol solutions reedom of hoice reedom from vendor lock-in ross- nteroperability Assurance Key urn-ffs Add-on drivers: But we must have them! We need interoperability A an nd-to-nd olution! 2003 ndustry onference Page 17

18 Making Money his is the critical question for everyone! Why did we create this situation? Will our industry find a way to cash in on a new mass market? f es, then tandardization is mandatory Will the future or be built on ustomer ervices? eptember ndustry onference Page 18

19 ummary has a long way to go MB/ may get into trouble etware is in decline ew protocols are needed yesterday! our hoice! scape Hatch ign Me p eptember ndustry onference Page 19

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