ClimDev-Africa Initiative

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1 ClimDev-Africa Initiative Joseph D. Intsiful, Senior Climate Science Expert African Climate Policy Centre, UNECA SADC Regional Climate Information Services Workshop Victoria Falls Zimbabwe, 29Nov -2 Dec 2016

2 Content Background and perspective ClimDev-Africa CIS work Result Area I Climate Research for Development in Africa (CR4D) initiative Summary, conclusion and outlook

3 Background and perspective

4 ClimDev-Africa Vision Sustainable attainment of poverty reduction and other Development Goals in Africa through policies and decisions on practices in Africa that take full account of climate change risks and opportunities at all levels 4

5 Relevance of ClimDev-Africa Unique in that it brings climate information and development together Conceptually relevant integrates pillars of sustainable development Reinforces Africa s development agenda Political buy-in at the highest level endorsed by heads of states Combination of partners strengths: UNECA to generate knowledge and analytical inputs to inform policy; AfDB to demonstrate return on investments in climate information in order to optimize new investments in CIS; AUC to enable policy formulation and uptake at the highest level 5

6 ClimDev-Africa Programme is structured into Three Result Areas Climdev-Africa Programme Management and Functioning Result Area 1 Widely Available Climate Information, Packaging and Dissemination Result Area 2 Quality Analysis for Decision Support and Management Practice Result Area 3 Informed Decision- Making, Awareness and Advocacy 6

7 ClimDev-Africa CIS Work (Result Area I): Widely Available Climate Information, Packaging and Dissemination

8 Climate Information Services for Development Planning Local and national emergency service Governmental authorities Public emergency planning activation and response Eg: evacuation Short to medium term weather forecasts Eg tropical cyclone, storm surge, flood Local and national emergency service Construction companies Food suppliers Urban & coastal areas seasonal preparation of Stocking of constrution materials Probabilistic seasonal to inter annual forecast eg: probabilities of severity and intensity of extreme events Urban planners Local to national govt Banks Companies Long-term strategic planning Infrastructure development Land use zoning and planning Building codes Decadal climate trend analysis Legislators Adaptation planning Climate change scenarios USERS APPLICATION SERVICE Next hour to 10 days Season to year Decade Long term climate change

9 Challenges to Delivery of Climate Information Services in Africa Over 88 % of NMHS are challenged in delivering climate information services to support DRR 92% lack appropriate application software 96% need upgrading of operational infrastructure to support DRR 92% need technical training on production of climate products and services 85% say lack of effective co-ordination with other agencies involved in DRR impacts negatively on operations Significant investment required for effective delivery of CIS (at least $6mil per country) Very low capacity to assess economic utility of CIS

10 Implementation Strategy Towards an integrated and comprehensive approach Support to countries: Analysis, design and implementation of national activities Accessing, collecting and analyzing data on climate variability and change and impacts Build capacities of countries to establish and use e- infrastructure (ICT, data, tools & network of institutions) to inform decision making Establish a community of practice to sustain the established systems

11 Technical support on CIS to pilot countries - Ethiopia, Rwanda and Gambia Support to Ethiopia, Rwanda and Gambia in data rescuing, upgrading hydrometeorological observational networks, early warning and data management systems. In Ethiopia, ACPC delivered 23 high capacity computers for the NMA, 20 Automatic Water Level Recorders and remote telemetry units, 1 database management software, and technical training was providing to experts from the Department of Hydrology of the Ministry of Water and Energy In Rwanda, ACPC delivered hydro-meteorological equipment and is assisted in setting up flood early warning systems in two watersheds, as well as 19 high performance computers, 15 hard drive disks and 5 scanners, 1 high performance computer and 1 database server Also in Rwanda, ACPC has implementing a project on vulnerability and risk assessment In The Gambia, ACPC delivered 4 water level measurement stations with telemetry, 3 ground water monitoring station with telemetry and a cellular base station are procured and one system installed with remainder under installation. Flood early warning system in Gambia Hydrological network in Ethiopia The ENACTS (Enhancing National Climate Services) initiative was implemented in Rwanda and Gambia in partnership with IRI to meet the increasing demand for improved climate information and services. Vulnerability index for Rwanda

12 Making climate information widely available Africa-wide with specific focus on African SIDS Establishing a Helpdesk for technical support and services (resources and systems) Establishment of a High Resolution Continental Numerical Weather Prediction and Early Warning System to address special needs on African SIDS Capacity Building, Deployments and Direct Engineering Assistance on Wireless Communication Platforms for Climate Information and Climate Services Delivery in African SIDS Establishing Climate Services Information Systems Africa- Wide to make climate information and services widely available

13 Architecture of the Weather-on-Demand (WOD) Infrastructure: Numerical Weather Prediction & Early Warning System The WOD system is built around a database, large file systems, the WRF-Chem atmospheric model and it s utilities and services Conductor manages resources of the WOD system. GFS Fetcher downloads weather data from NOAA as it becomes available, converts it into a format suitable for the WRF-Chem weather model Modeler polls the Conductor for Tasks for running the weather model and notifies it on progress and completion. Plotter polls the Conductor for Tasks for generating weather plots

14 Major Implementations African SIDS Implementation (wind and rainfall) Guinea-Bissau Cabo Verde Sao Tome & Principe Seychelles Mauritius Comoros Pan African Implementation (Accumulated rainfall) Madagascar Implementation (Accumulated rainfall)

15 Forecasting Hurricane Fred over Cabo Verde Model forecasts Sal before and during the Hurricane

16 RAMADDA Publishing Web UI APIs HTTP & FTP Harvesters Basic Services CRUD Search (federated) Access control Event notification File, image, chat,wiki page, link, script, DIF, THREDDS, Viewing Output Handlers HTML RSS Catalog OAI-PMH OPeNDAP KML HTML RSS Catalog Etc. Folders, Entries, Metadata, RDMS

17 Integrated Data Viewer A Java based software framework for analyzing and visualizing geoscience data based on the VISAD Provides the ability to analyze & display : satellite imagery gridded model output surface, upper-air, wind profiler, lightning, radar data and much more Can create a variety of displays: 2-D horizontal contours/color-filled contours 3-D iso-surfaces vertical cross sections interactive data probing and much more

18 Workshops on Use of ACPC-ClimDev Numerical Weather Prediction and Early Warning System Workshop themes: Comprehensive technology needs assessment in African SIDS and mainland countries to facilitate deployment of system Establishment of community of practice and research themes for further enquiry Atlantic Ocean SIDS Workshop - Brought together 20 participants from African SIDS, Gambia, Senegal and experts from USA/NOAA, Iceland and ACPC/ClimDev-Africa: Benchmarking of model performance based on forecasting of Hurricane Fred and associated storm surge Indian Ocean SIDS Workshop - Brought together 12 participants from African SIDS, Gambia, Ghana, Madagascar, Mauritius, ICPAC and experts from Iceland, ICTP and ACPC: Benchmarking of model performance based on forecasting of Indian Ocean extremes and associated storm surge

19 Setting up of Numerical Weather Prediction System and Climate Services Information Systems Africa-wide Hands on training for technicians from Cabo Verde on deployment and management of Numerical Weather Prediction System

20 Wireless Connectivity in Indian Ocean SIDS Support provided to the Indian Ocean SIDS Seychelles, Mauritius and Comoros realtime transfer data for hydrometeorological observational networks, early warning and data management systems. Wireless network connecting the Meteorological office at Mahe airport with the weather station at Praslin airport has enabled observed climate/weather data to be transmitted in realtime Capacity established in Comoros to link Met office at Lycee to met stations at Hahaya and remote stations at Ouani and Fomboni will enable realtime monitoring of climate and marine envirionment Capacity building and deployment at the University of Mauritius has generated interest in Internet-of-Things for monitoring of climate and marine environment. Seychelles Comoros Mauritius

21 Climate Research for Development (CR4D) Vision: Catalyze multi-institutional and multi-disciplinary integrated, demand-driven, climate research and analysis that is responsive to users and development planning needs Key Goals: Climate Analysis & Simulations Enhance ACPC s links with climate research and operational centers, as well as other stakeholders and initiatives in order to improve flow of relevant climate information and services for policymaking and development planning Facilitate multi-institutional and multi-stakeholder demanddriven applied climate research: Collaborative Platform for codesign, and co-production of climate information and services Communication & Dissemination Interdisciplinary Climate Projects Innovative Decision Support & Translation Tools CR4D COORDINATION PLATFORM Regional Climate Partnerships Sustainable, Transdisciplinary, Capacity Development Scenarios & Assessment s Impacts Analysis & Mobilize and promote cross-disciplinary capacity development and training through partnerships with sub-regional, regional, international and Pan-Africa institutions and stakeholders Modeling for VIA Improve development and use of sector-specific climate-related decision support and/or translation tools

22 Current and Planned CR4D Activities Multi-Institution Pilot Research Projects on Sub-Seasonal to Seasonal (S2S) climate forecasting and applications in West and Central Africa Developing an inclusive collaboration network of key institutions, stakeholders, and experts to undertake a Pan-Africa 2 Degree Africa 2020 Climate Impacts Assessment ( ) Establishing Six multi-institution and multi-stakeholder Regional Climate Research Partnerships (RCRP)-West, East, Central, North, South and African-SIDS as the implementation mechanism for the CR4D Platform Two Regional Workshops to initiate the process (East and Southern Africa) Mapping Institutions, Initiatives, and Expertise on climate research and related applications since 2005 Developing CR4D 5-Year Strategic Plan ( 2016/7 to 2020/1)

23 Summary, Conclusion and Outlook

24 Summary and Conclusion A continental integrated approach that demonstrates linkages between climate information and development First time an CIS e-infrastructure is being widely deployed continentally and addressing the unique needs of SIDS State-of-the-art and cost-effective: based on Opensource tools, data and methods African Community of practice established knowledge contribution from all participating member states Climate Services Information System installed/deployed by and maintained by ClimDev experts Data analysis and visualization system installed/deployed by ClimDev experts

25 Main Areas of focus for Consolidate the NWP and EWS system deployed in SIDS and coastal communities - RCCs/RECS, UNOSAT, WMO/GFCS, UNISDR Establish technical support and services facility for climate information and services delivery (implementation of GFCS) in SIDS and coastal communities Socio-economic utility of weather/climate forecasts - RCCs/RECs, WMO/GFCS, AMCOMET/AMCOW E-infrastructure deployment in African SIDS and coastal communities (Internet of Things, observing networks, Big Data and Analytics) ICTP/RCC, WMO/GFCS Establish a Geo-spatial and remote sensing labs in SIDS and coastal communities for mapping and harnessing marine, aquatic and coastal resources for blue economy development RCMRD, MESA, RCCs/RECs Consolidate the newly established Climate Research for Development and fellowship programmes - (AMCOMET/WMO, RCCs/RECs, Research institutions and networks) Support climate change and development governance in Africa and beyond (African ministerial conferences, CCDA, ACTS, African Pavilion) - ClimDev-Africa, RECs/RCCs, AGRHYMET & COMESA Support facility for Blue Economy development in Africa - RECs/RCCs and Academia Data, Information and Knowledge management (Legacy, lessons and best practices) Coordination mechanism for ACP-GCCA in Africa - ClimDev-Africa, AGRHYMET & COMESA

26 Outlook: Multi-Tier Data Infrastructure Tier 2: All member states Tier 1: Regional Centres Tier 0: ClimDev Tier 0: Contains all open source data and tools in addition to ClimDev data Tier 1: Collaborating Centres with specialized data and tools (RCCs) Tier 2: All member countries accessing infrastructure via web interfaces

27 Thank You

28 RAMADDA Publishing Web UI APIs HTTP & FTP Harvesters Basic Services CRUD Search (federated) Access control Event notification File, image, chat,wiki page, link, script, DIF, THREDDS, Viewing Output Handlers HTML RSS Catalog OAI-PMH OPeNDAP KML HTML RSS Catalog Etc. Folders, Entries, Metadata, RDMS

29 Integrated Data Viewer A Java based software framework for analyzing and visualizing geoscience data based on the VISAD Provides the ability to analyze & display : satellite imagery gridded model output surface, upper-air, wind profiler, lightning, radar data and much more Can create a variety of displays: 2-D horizontal contours/color-filled contours 3-D iso-surfaces vertical cross sections interactive data probing and much more

30 Workshops on Use of ACPC-ClimDev Numerical Weather Prediction and Early Warning System Workshop themes: Comprehensive technology needs assessment in African SIDS and mainland countries to facilitate deployment of system Establishment of community of practice and research themes for further enquiry Atlantic Ocean SIDS Workshop - Brought together 20 participants from African SIDS, Gambia, Senegal and experts from USA/NOAA, Iceland and ACPC/ClimDev-Africa: Benchmarking of model performance based on forecasting of Hurricane Fred and associated storm surge Indian Ocean SIDS Workshop - Brought together 12 participants from African SIDS, Gambia, Ghana, Madagascar, Mauritius, ICPAC and experts from Iceland, ICTP and ACPC: Benchmarking of model performance based on forecasting of Indian Ocean extremes and associated storm surge

31 Setting up of Numerical Weather Prediction System and Climate Services Information Systems Africa-wide Hands on training for technicians from Cabo Verde on deployment and management of Numerical Weather Prediction System

32 Wireless Connectivity in Indian Ocean SIDS Support provided to the Indian Ocean SIDS Seychelles, Mauritius and Comoros realtime transfer data for hydrometeorological observational networks, early warning and data management systems. Wireless network connecting the Meteorological office at Mahe airport with the weather station at Praslin airport has enabled observed climate/weather data to be transmitted in realtime Capacity established in Comoros to link Met office at Lycee to met stations at Hahaya and remote stations at Ouani and Fomboni will enable realtime monitoring of climate and marine envirionment Capacity building and deployment at the University of Mauritius has generated interest in Internet-of-Things for monitoring of climate and marine environment. Seychelles Comoros Mauritius

33 Climate Research for Development (CR4D) Vision: Catalyze multi-institutional and multi-disciplinary integrated, demand-driven, climate research and analysis that is responsive to users and development planning needs Key Goals: Climate Analysis & Simulations Enhance ACPC s links with climate research and operational centers, as well as other stakeholders and initiatives in order to improve flow of relevant climate information and services for policymaking and development planning Facilitate multi-institutional and multi-stakeholder demanddriven applied climate research: Collaborative Platform for codesign, and co-production of climate information and services Communication & Dissemination Interdisciplinary Climate Projects Innovative Decision Support & Translation Tools CR4D COORDINATION PLATFORM Regional Climate Partnerships Sustainable, Transdisciplinary, Capacity Development Scenarios & Assessment s Impacts Analysis & Mobilize and promote cross-disciplinary capacity development and training through partnerships with sub-regional, regional, international and Pan-Africa institutions and stakeholders Modeling for VIA Improve development and use of sector-specific climate-related decision support and/or translation tools

34 Africa s aquatic and marine resources remain largely unexploited and being recognised for its potential contribution to inclusive and sustainable development 38 of 54 African member states are coastal states with 90 percent of Africa s imports/exports conducted by sea Some of the global strategic gateways for international trade are in Africa underscoring its geopolitical significance Oceans have the potential to provide 400% current global energy demands The fishing sector in Tanzania is 26% more productive than the overall average, about 150% in Uganda, and more than 500% in Madagascar. This gives opportunity to linking the Blue Economy sectors, with high productivity potential, to accelerating structural transformation, primarily in Coastal and Island States in the region. The Africa s Union s (AU) Agenda 2063 states that Africa s Blue economy, which is three times the size of its landmass, shall be a major contributor to continental transformation and growth. The blue economy is referred by the AU A New Frontier of African Renaissance Over 90% of natural disasters in Africa are due to weather and climate related hazards/conditions The SAMOA Pathway articulates the unique challenges of SIDS in addressing climate variability and change and Disaster Risk and calls for urgent action to manage climate risks

35 Priorities for future activities in Result Area 1: Climate Information Services Integrate within the Early Warning System an operational DRR data and information management system and practitioners handbook for African SIDS Build strategic partnerships with CR4D, African universities and research institutions to integrate systems into their processes Explore the use of innovative emerging technologies to strengthen NMHS and RCCs operational infrastructure and human capacity Development of sub-seasonal to seasonal climate prediction system for the Indian Ocean RIM countries and its extension to the Atlantic Ocean RIM countries partnership between UNECA, UNOSAT, ISOR and WMO/GFCS

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