FIELD RESEARCH CORPORATION
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1 FIELD RESEARCH CORPORATION FOUNDED IN 1945 BY MERVIN FIELD 601 California Street San Francisco, California Tabulations From a Survey of California Likely Voters about the 2016 Presidential Election - prepared for the - Capitol Alert and the Sacramento Bee September 20,
2 Introduction This volume presents the statistical data developed from a September 2016 Field-IGS Poll, conducted jointly by The Field Poll and UC Berkeley s Institute of Governmental Studies using YouGov s online panel. The results in this volume are based on the responses of 1,426 likely voters in California, although some of the questions are based on a random subsample of voters statewide. Data collection was completed September 7-13, 2016 in English and Spanish by YouGov, which administered the survey among California registered voters included as part of its online panel of over 1.5 million U.S. residents. YouGov panel members were invited to participate in the poll through an invitation containing a link to the survey, and were selected using a proprietary sampling technology frame that establishes interlocking targets, so that the characteristics of the voters interviewed match the demographic, political and regional profile of the overall California registered voter population. To help ensure diversity among poll respondents, YouGov recruits its panelists using a variety of methods, including web-based advertising and campaigns, partner-sponsored solicitations, and telephone-to-web recruitment or mail-to-web recruitment. Difficult-to-reach populations are supplemented through more specialized recruitment efforts, including telephone and mail surveys. The Field Poll and the Institute of Governmental Studies were jointly responsible for developing all questions included in the survey and its translation into Spanish. After survey administration, the YouGov data file was forwarded to The Field Poll for processing. The Field Poll then took the lead in developing and applying post-stratification weights to more precisely align the sample to Field Poll estimates of the characteristics of the California registered voter population both overall and by region. The Field Poll was also responsible for determining which voters in the survey were most likely to vote in this year s election. 2
3 Guide to Reading the Tables The question or questions upon which the data are based is shown at the top of each table. Tables are percentaged vertically with the raw percentage base appearing at the top of each column. The data have been weighted to known parameters of the statewide registered voter population. All percentages and frequencies reported in each table are therefore weighted tabulations. In instances where percentages are calculated on small bases (e.g., when the base is fewer than 100 respondents) the reader is urged to interpret the data with caution, since results are subject to larger levels of sampling error. Throughout the tables an asterisk is used to denote a value of less than 1/2 of 1%. A hyphen indicates zero value. On some tables the percentages may add to more than 100% due to multiple mentions. s of subgroups used in the tabulations may add to less than the total number of respondents due to some respondents not reporting that characteristic. 3
4 Regional Subgroup Definitions Section Southern CA : Northern CA: San Diego, Orange, Los Angeles, Ventura, Santa Barbara, San Luis Obispo, Riverside, San Bernardino, Imperial and Kern counties all other 48 California counties Area Coastal Counties: San Diego, Orange, Los Angeles, Ventura, Santa Barbara, San Luis Obispo, Monterey, Santa Cruz, San Mateo, San Francisco, Contra Costa, Alameda, Marin, Napa, Solano, Sonoma, Santa Clara, Mendocino, Humboldt, Del Norte Inland counties: all other 38 California counties Region Los Angeles: Los Angeles county Other South South Coast: Central Valley: SF Bay Area: Riverside, San Bernardino, Ventura, Santa Barbara, Imperial and San Luis Obispo counties San Diego County and Orange counties Butte, Colusa, Fresno, Glenn, Kern, Kings, Madera, Merced, Placer, Sacramento, San Joaquin, Shasta, Stanislaus, Sutter, Tehama, Tulare, Yolo, and Yuba San Francisco, Marin, Napa, Sonoma, Solano, Contra Costa, Alameda, Santa Clara, San Mateo Other North: Alpine, Amador, Calaveras, Del Norte, El Dorado, Humboldt, Inyo, Lake, Lassen, Mariposa, Mendocino, Monterey, Modoc, Mono, Nevada, Plumas, San Benito, Santa Cruz, Sierra, Siskiyou, Trinity, Tuolumne 4
5 Questions Asked (ASKED OF ALL LIKELY VOTERS) If the election for president were held today, for whom would you vote? HILLARY CLINTON-TIM KAINE, DEMOCRATIC PARTY; DONALD TRUMP-MIKE PENCE, REPUBLICAN PARTY; GARY JOHNSON-WILLIAM WELD, LIBERTARIAN PARTY; JILL STEIN-AJAMU BARAKA, GREEN PARTY. (ORDERING OF PARTY TICKETS RANDOMIZED TO AVOID POSSIBLE SEQUENCE BIAS) (ASKED OF A RANDOM SUBSAMPLE OF 484 LIKELY VOTERS) What is your overall opinion of Hillary Clinton? VERY FAVORABLE; SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE; SOMEWHAT UNFAVORABLE; VERY UNFAVORABLE. What is your overall opinion of Donald Trump? VERY FAVORABLE; SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE; SOMEWHAT UNFAVORABLE; VERY UNFAVORABLE. (ASKED OF A RANDOM SUBSAMPLE OF 600 REGISTERED VOTERS, INCLUDING 484 LIKELY VOTERS) Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? APPROVE STRONGLY; APPROVE SOMEWHAT; DISAPPROVE SOMEWHAT; DISAPPROVE STRONGLY. 5
6 Q3 (Banner 1) Likely voters Hillary Clinton - Tim Kaine, Democratic Donald Trump - Mike Pence, Republican Gary Johnson - William Weld, Libertarian Jill Stein - Ajamu Baraka, Green Undecided Southern CA Section Area Region Registration Likely voters Other Northern Coastal Inland L.A. South Other Central SF Bay NPP/ Likely Norther Democrat Republican CA counties counties County Coast South Valley Area Other voter CA Vote choice if the election for president were held today % 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% % 50.8% 48.2% 54.4% 38.7% 57.6% 46.8% 42.0% 40.1% 60.5% 24.1% 85.1% 5.9% 38.4% 49.7% % 34.5% 30.1% 29.1% 40.6% 27.1% 40.1% 42.2% 36.6% 22.9% 38.7% 4.1% 84.2% 23.7% 32.6% % 4.1% 6.5% 4.4% 6.9% 3.2% 4.4% 5.6% 5.0% 6.0% 13.1% 1.4% 4.1% 12.6% 5.2% % 5.2% 7.1% 6.4% 5.1% 7.5% 4.0% 2.2% 7.0% 4.6% 16.9% 5.6% 0.3% 13.0% 6.0% % 5.4% 8.1% 5.6% 8.7% 4.6% 4.7% 7.9% 11.3% 5.9% 7.2% 3.8% 5.5% 12.3% 6.5% Not likely voter Field Research Corporation Table 27 6
7 Q3 (Banner 2) Likely voters Hillary Clinton - Tim Kaine, Democratic Donald Trump - Mike Pence, Republican Gary Johnson - William Weld, Libertarian Jill Stein - Ajamu Baraka, Green Undecided Male Female Gender Race/Ethnicity Age Marital Status White non- Hispanic Latino African- American Asian/ Pac Isle Other Married/ domestic partner Single/ Never married Widow/ separated/ divorced Child under 18 in HH Vote choice if the election for president were held today % 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% % 45.5% 53.9% 43.7% 61.1% 77.4% 60.3% 35.1% 62.3% 57.0% 55.2% 44.0% 44.3% 49.8% 54.8% 42.5% 55.2% 48.1% % 36.7% 28.5% 38.0% 20.6% 13.0% 24.6% 44.6% 15.8% 14.0% 27.6% 37.7% 46.7% 35.9% 17.5% 43.4% 23.7% 35.0% % 5.1% 5.2% 6.1% 3.4% - 5.3% 5.9% 5.6% 11.4% 4.4% 4.5% 2.4% 4.3% 8.2% 3.5% 9.4% 4.1% % 6.9% 5.1% 5.9% 7.3% 4.9% 4.4% 4.5% 9.1% 10.0% 6.8% 6.0% 2.1% 3.7% 12.6% 3.8% 4.5% 6.4% % 5.8% 7.3% 6.3% 7.6% 4.7% 5.5% 10.0% 7.2% 7.6% 6.0% 7.8% 4.5% 6.4% 6.8% 6.7% 7.2% 6.5% Yes No Field Research Corporation Table 28 7
8 Q3 (Banner 3) Likely voters Hillary Clinton - Tim Kaine, Democratic Donald Trump - Mike Pence, Republican Gary Johnson - William Weld, Libertarian Jill Stein - Ajamu Baraka, Green Undecided conservative Conservative Political ideology Follow gov/public affairs Household Income Education Now and $20,000 $40,000 $60,000 $80,000 H.S. Some Most of Some of then/ Under Moderate Liberal $100,000+ graduate college/ liberal the time the time hardly $20,000 $39,999 $59,999 $79,999 $99,999 or less 2-year at all College graduate Vote choice if the election for president were held today % 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% % 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% % 6.7% 15.5% 49.1% 79.7% 77.8% 48.5% 52.5% % 48.1% 48.8% 61.8% 39.9% 55.7% 41.2% 40.4% 56.9% 60.6% % 83.1% 71.8% 30.5% 2.2% 1.5% 36.2% 24.1% % 30.9% 33.8% 26.0% 39.1% 30.4% 48.5% 36.7% 24.8% 23.8% % 5.5% 5.3% 7.0% 3.4% 4.1% 3.7% 8.5% - 8.2% 6.5% 4.7% 3.4% 6.0% 4.7% 2.1% 5.6% 7.8% 3.7% % 1.1% 0.5% 3.7% 9.6% 13.5% 6.3% 5.4% % 7.2% 6.1% 4.3% 6.5% 4.0% 3.9% 7.0% 5.0% 7.6% % 3.5% 6.9% 9.7% 5.1% 3.1% 5.3% 9.5% - 6.0% 7.4% 6.6% 4.5% 8.5% 5.1% 4.4% 10.3% 5.5% 4.3% Post graduate Field Research Corporation Table 29 8
9 Q3 (Banner 4) Likely voters Hillary Clinton - Tim Kaine, Democratic Donald Trump - Mike Pence, Republican Gary Johnson - William Weld, Libertarian Jill Stein - Ajamu Baraka, Green Undecided Tenure Employment status Religion Born Again Form Not Home- Roman Other Agnostic/ Renter Employed employed Protestant owner Catholic religion nothing (all other) Yes No A B C Vote choice if the election for president were held today % 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% % 47.6% 55.6% 53.5% 45.8% 32.9% 57.9% 53.2% 56.9% 39.3% 52.7% 49.5% 49.2% 50.3% % 37.9% 21.5% 27.0% 38.3% 53.1% 32.3% 21.0% 20.8% 51.0% 27.3% 33.8% 34.5% 29.6% % 4.2% 6.9% 6.5% 3.7% 5.1% 1.7% 8.7% 6.0% 1.9% 6.1% 5.1% 3.9% 6.4% % 4.2% 8.6% 6.6% 5.4% 2.2% 1.3% 9.1% 10.5% 1.2% 7.4% 5.7% 6.4% 5.9% % 6.1% 7.4% 6.3% 6.8% 6.8% 6.8% 8.0% 5.8% 6.6% 6.5% 5.9% 5.9% 7.7% Field Research Corporation Table 30 9
10 Q4b (Banner 1) Likely voters (Form B) Southern CA Section Area Region Registration Likely voters Other Northern Coastal Inland L.A. South Other Central SF Bay NPP/ Likely Norther Democrat Republican CA counties counties County Coast South Valley Area Other voter CA Overall opinion Hillary Clinton % 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% % 27.1% 27.2% 28.9% 22.8% 33.0% 21.8% 21.2% 22.5% 32.1% 20.5% 50.8% 1.4% 15.8% 27.1% * % 21.2% 17.6% 21.4% 15.6% 21.5% 21.2% 20.8% 12.1% 25.1% 1.2% 30.5% 2.8% 20.5% 19.7% % 12.2% 11.7% 13.5% 8.2% 17.0% 7.4% 8.2% 9.9% 12.8% 12.4% 9.8% 3.6% 25.5% 12.0% % 39.5% 43.5% 36.2% 53.4% 28.6% 49.6% 49.8% 55.5% 29.9% 65.8% 8.9% 92.2% 38.1% 41.1% Not likely voter Field Research Corporation Table 31 10
11 Q4b (Banner 2) Likely voters (Form B) Male Female Gender Race/Ethnicity Age Marital Status White non- Hispanic Latino African- American Asian/ Pac Isle Other Married/ domestic partner Single/ Never married Widow/ separated/ divorced Child under 18 in HH Overall opinion Hillary Clinton % 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% % 23.1% 31.0% 24.3% 35.2% 41.1% 24.5% 11.9% 24.3% 33.8% 34.3% 23.3% 25.9% 27.4% 27.4% 26.1% 34.1% 25.0% % 19.4% 20.1% 17.9% 20.3% 43.0% 26.0% % 28.2% 8.1% 18.0% 16.9% 18.8% 22.1% 19.6% 19.6% 19.9% % 11.8% 12.2% 10.8% 11.0% % 27.8% 17.4% 10.2% 18.9% 14.3% 5.3% 9.4% 19.8% 9.6% 9.0% 13.0% % 45.7% 36.7% 47.0% 33.5% 15.9% 21.1% 60.3% 27.6% 27.8% 38.6% 44.4% 52.0% 44.4% 30.7% 44.7% 37.3% 42.1% Yes No Field Research Corporation Table 32 11
12 Q4b (Banner 3) Likely voters (Form B) conservative Conservative Political ideology Follow gov/public affairs Household Income Education Now and $20,000 $40,000 $60,000 $80,000 H.S. Some Most of Some of then/ Under Moderate Liberal $100,000+ graduate college/ liberal the time the time hardly $20,000 $39,999 $59,999 $79,999 $99,999 or less 2-year at all College graduate Overall opinion Hillary Clinton Post graduate % 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% % 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% % 7.1% 11.2% 25.7% 39.8% 47.7% 27.1% 27.4% % 24.2% 23.5% 39.5% 23.7% 30.8% 23.5% 20.7% 33.4% 32.2% % 4.5% 6.4% 19.3% 31.0% 33.9% 17.9% 24.3% % 23.0% 23.3% 25.4% 17.1% 14.3% 15.8% 15.4% 24.7% 23.4% % - 5.7% 13.9% 17.0% 16.4% 9.5% 18.4% % 11.3% 14.9% 8.8% 13.2% 12.9% 10.3% 13.5% 13.0% 10.1% % 88.3% 76.7% 41.1% 12.2% 2.0% 45.5% 29.9% % 41.5% 38.3% 26.3% 46.0% 42.1% 50.4% 50.4% 28.9% 34.3% Field Research Corporation Table 33 12
13 Q4b (Banner 4) Likely voters (Form B) Tenure Employment status Religion Born Again Form Not Home- Roman Other Agnostic/ Renter Employed employed Protestant owner Catholic religion nothing (all other) Yes No A B C Overall opinion Hillary Clinton % 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% % % 27.5% 28.0% 28.0% 26.2% 20.4% 30.6% 36.5% 28.5% 25.8% 27.5% % % 17.7% 25.1% 20.2% 19.2% 7.4% 15.9% 19.5% 31.4% 10.8% 22.1% % % 10.9% 13.4% 13.0% 10.9% 7.3% 11.5% 15.5% 15.4% 5.9% 13.6% % % 44.0% 33.5% 38.8% 43.6% 65.0% 42.0% 28.6% 24.7% 57.5% 36.9% % Field Research Corporation Table 34 13
14 Q5b (Banner 1) Likely voters (Form B) Southern CA Section Area Region Registration Likely voters Other Northern Coastal Inland L.A. South Other Central SF Bay NPP/ Likely Norther Democrat Republican CA counties counties County Coast South Valley Area Other voter CA Overall opinion Donald Trump % 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% % 11.9% 17.3% 11.1% 21.5% 8.3% 16.5% 14.1% 16.7% 12.7% 40.3% 2.5% 38.5% 6.2% 14.1% % 22.1% 10.6% 18.0% 15.4% 19.7% 23.0% 25.8% 16.2% 7.7% 4.5% 4.4% 38.8% 14.8% 17.3% % 11.0% 14.7% 12.4% 12.8% 9.2% 9.7% 16.4% 13.4% 18.8% - 7.7% 16.9% 15.9% 12.6% % 54.4% 57.5% 58.3% 49.3% 62.7% 50.9% 41.8% 53.7% 60.8% 55.2% 85.4% 5.6% 62.2% 55.7% * 1 * * % 0.5% - 0.1% 0.9% 0.2% - 1.8% % 1.0% 0.3% - Not likely voter Field Research Corporation Table 35 14
15 Q5b (Banner 2) Likely voters (Form B) Male Female Gender Race/Ethnicity Age Marital Status White non- Hispanic Latino African- American Asian/ Pac Isle Other Married/ domestic partner Single/ Never married Widow/ separated/ divorced Child under 18 in HH Overall opinion Donald Trump % 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% % 12.8% 15.4% 17.1% 12.5% - 2.8% 12.2% 9.6% 9.6% 17.1% 13.3% 18.5% 16.1% 8.9% 14.7% 10.5% 14.5% % 19.0% 15.6% 20.6% 9.9% 12.4% 9.8% 24.4% 2.3% 16.4% 12.1% 17.8% 25.6% 20.0% 8.1% 20.6% 21.1% 16.3% % 13.3% 11.9% 12.0% 9.2% 12.8% 23.2% 24.2% 7.0% 20.2% 11.3% 15.5% 7.4% 14.6% 8.8% 11.1% 18.6% 11.2% % 54.4% 57.0% 50.3% 67.0% 74.9% 64.2% 39.1% 79.0% 53.4% 59.5% 53.4% 48.4% 48.7% 74.3% 53.5% 48.2% 58.0% 2 1 * * % 0.5% 0.1% - 1.5% % 0.4% % % - Yes No Field Research Corporation Table 36 15
16 Q5b (Banner 3) Likely voters (Form B) conservative Conservative Political ideology Follow gov/public affairs Household Income Education Now and $20,000 $40,000 $60,000 $80,000 H.S. Some Most of Some of then/ Under Moderate Liberal $100,000+ graduate college/ liberal the time the time hardly $20,000 $39,999 $59,999 $79,999 $99,999 or less 2-year at all College graduate Overall opinion Donald Trump Post graduate % 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% % 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% % 38.8% 35.2% 8.4% 0.8% 1.5% 16.5% 7.9% % 12.9% 19.4% 10.9% 11.6% 7.0% 24.6% 17.6% 9.6% 5.4% % 37.2% 30.2% 20.8% 0.9% 1.2% 19.4% 11.8% - 8.6% 20.3% 9.3% 11.7% 23.7% 24.4% 18.7% 15.5% 17.5% 18.4% % 18.5% 15.7% 19.3% 5.3% 1.1% 8.9% 22.0% % 8.0% 11.8% 7.2% 21.1% 19.0% 7.1% 12.7% 12.5% 17.2% % 5.5% 18.8% 51.3% 91.8% 96.3% 54.7% 58.4% % 58.8% 59.0% 70.3% 43.7% 49.6% 48.3% 54.0% 60.4% 59.0% * * * % % 1.2% - 0.4% % - 0.5% % 0.2% - - Field Research Corporation Table 37 16
17 Q5b (Banner 4) Likely voters (Form B) Tenure Employment status Religion Born Again Form Not Home- Roman Other Agnostic/ Renter Employed employed Protestant owner Catholic religion nothing (all other) Yes No A B C Overall opinion Donald Trump % 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% % % 15.7% 12.8% 13.4% 15.0% 24.5% 17.7% 9.0% 5.1% 20.0% 12.6% % % 20.8% 9.1% 16.8% 17.7% 26.5% 21.2% 14.8% 8.4% 32.0% 13.4% % % 14.2% 10.3% 14.7% 10.3% 18.6% 14.7% 5.2% 8.4% 23.1% 9.8% % % 49.3% 66.7% 54.5% 57.0% 30.5% 46.5% 71.0% 77.3% 24.9% 63.8% % % - 1.0% 0.6% % - 0.4% - 0.3% - Field Research Corporation Table 38 17
18 Q5b (Banner 1) Likely voters (Form B) Southern CA Section Area Region Registration Likely voters Other Northern Coastal Inland L.A. South Other Central SF Bay NPP/ Likely Norther Democrat Republican CA counties counties County Coast South Valley Area Other voter CA Overall opinion Donald Trump % 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% % 11.9% 17.3% 11.1% 21.5% 8.3% 16.5% 14.1% 16.7% 12.7% 40.3% 2.5% 38.5% 6.2% 14.1% % 22.1% 10.6% 18.0% 15.4% 19.7% 23.0% 25.8% 16.2% 7.7% 4.5% 4.4% 38.8% 14.8% 17.3% % 11.0% 14.7% 12.4% 12.8% 9.2% 9.7% 16.4% 13.4% 18.8% - 7.7% 16.9% 15.9% 12.6% % 54.4% 57.5% 58.3% 49.3% 62.7% 50.9% 41.8% 53.7% 60.8% 55.2% 85.4% 5.6% 62.2% 55.7% * 1 * * % 0.5% - 0.1% 0.9% 0.2% - 1.8% % 1.0% 0.3% - Not likely voter Field Research Corporation Table 35 18
19 Q5b (Banner 2) Likely voters (Form B) Male Female Gender Race/Ethnicity Age Marital Status White non- Hispanic Latino African- American Asian/ Pac Isle Other Married/ domestic partner Single/ Never married Widow/ separated/ divorced Child under 18 in HH Overall opinion Donald Trump % 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% % 12.8% 15.4% 17.1% 12.5% - 2.8% 12.2% 9.6% 9.6% 17.1% 13.3% 18.5% 16.1% 8.9% 14.7% 10.5% 14.5% % 19.0% 15.6% 20.6% 9.9% 12.4% 9.8% 24.4% 2.3% 16.4% 12.1% 17.8% 25.6% 20.0% 8.1% 20.6% 21.1% 16.3% % 13.3% 11.9% 12.0% 9.2% 12.8% 23.2% 24.2% 7.0% 20.2% 11.3% 15.5% 7.4% 14.6% 8.8% 11.1% 18.6% 11.2% % 54.4% 57.0% 50.3% 67.0% 74.9% 64.2% 39.1% 79.0% 53.4% 59.5% 53.4% 48.4% 48.7% 74.3% 53.5% 48.2% 58.0% 2 1 * * % 0.5% 0.1% - 1.5% % 0.4% % % - Yes No Field Research Corporation Table 36 19
20 Q5b (Banner 3) Likely voters (Form B) conservative Conservative Political ideology Follow gov/public affairs Household Income Education Now and $20,000 $40,000 $60,000 $80,000 H.S. Some Most of Some of then/ Under Moderate Liberal $100,000+ graduate college/ liberal the time the time hardly $20,000 $39,999 $59,999 $79,999 $99,999 or less 2-year at all College graduate Overall opinion Donald Trump Post graduate % 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% % 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% % 38.8% 35.2% 8.4% 0.8% 1.5% 16.5% 7.9% % 12.9% 19.4% 10.9% 11.6% 7.0% 24.6% 17.6% 9.6% 5.4% % 37.2% 30.2% 20.8% 0.9% 1.2% 19.4% 11.8% - 8.6% 20.3% 9.3% 11.7% 23.7% 24.4% 18.7% 15.5% 17.5% 18.4% % 18.5% 15.7% 19.3% 5.3% 1.1% 8.9% 22.0% % 8.0% 11.8% 7.2% 21.1% 19.0% 7.1% 12.7% 12.5% 17.2% % 5.5% 18.8% 51.3% 91.8% 96.3% 54.7% 58.4% % 58.8% 59.0% 70.3% 43.7% 49.6% 48.3% 54.0% 60.4% 59.0% * * * % % 1.2% - 0.4% % - 0.5% % 0.2% - - Field Research Corporation Table 37 20
21 Q5b (Banner 4) Likely voters (Form B) Tenure Employment status Religion Born Again Form Not Home- Roman Other Agnostic/ Renter Employed employed Protestant owner Catholic religion nothing (all other) Yes No A B C Overall opinion Donald Trump % 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% % % 15.7% 12.8% 13.4% 15.0% 24.5% 17.7% 9.0% 5.1% 20.0% 12.6% % % 20.8% 9.1% 16.8% 17.7% 26.5% 21.2% 14.8% 8.4% 32.0% 13.4% % % 14.2% 10.3% 14.7% 10.3% 18.6% 14.7% 5.2% 8.4% 23.1% 9.8% % % 49.3% 66.7% 54.5% 57.0% 30.5% 46.5% 71.0% 77.3% 24.9% 63.8% % % - 1.0% 0.6% % - 0.4% - 0.3% - Field Research Corporation Table 38 21
22 Q20a (Banner 1) Registered Voters (Form A) Approve strongly Approve somewhat Disapprove somewhat Disapprove strongly Southern CA Section Area Region Registration Likely voters Other Northern Coastal Inland L.A. South Other Central SF Bay NPP/ Likely Norther Democrat Republican CA counties counties County Coast South Valley Area Other voter CA Approve or disapprove Barack Obama is handling his job as President % 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% % 29.1% 30.0% 33.1% 21.1% 35.5% 25.6% 20.9% 23.3% 36.0% 27.6% 51.1% 4.2% 20.4% 32.2% 20.4% % 25.7% 31.4% 26.2% 32.5% 20.1% 30.5% 31.0% 30.4% 31.7% 33.7% 36.1% 11.2% 32.0% 23.6% 43.1% % 13.4% 10.7% 12.6% 11.4% 14.5% 9.5% 15.9% 11.1% 12.8% - 8.8% 14.2% 15.7% 10.0% 19.9% % 31.6% 27.6% 27.9% 34.5% 29.9% 34.5% 31.3% 35.2% 19.6% 35.8% 3.8% 69.9% 31.9% 33.9% 16.7% % 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.5% % % 0.3% 0.5% - 0.3% - Not likely voter Field Research Corporation Table
23 Q20a (Banner 2) Registered Voters (Form A) Approve strongly Approve somewhat Disapprove somewhat Disapprove strongly Male Female Gender Race/Ethnicity Age Marital Status White non- Hispanic Latino African- American Asian/ Pac Isle Other Married/ domestic partner Single/ Never married Widow/ separated/ divorced Child under 18 in HH Approve or disapprove Barack Obama is handling his job as President % 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% % 25.0% 33.5% 28.5% 28.8% 55.1% 23.3% 21.8% 32.3% 25.8% 30.4% 26.3% 33.6% 30.2% 29.9% 27.1% 29.2% 29.6% % 27.7% 28.4% 23.3% 32.6% 34.3% 51.3% 22.0% 41.2% 44.1% 29.6% 20.2% 17.4% 25.6% 39.0% 18.8% 35.2% 25.7% % 11.3% 13.1% 10.7% 19.7% % 14.1% 15.0% 15.5% 13.0% 14.3% 5.3% 12.2% 13.3% 10.8% 15.6% 10.6% % 36.0% 24.5% 37.1% 18.9% 10.6% 14.5% 42.1% 11.5% 14.6% 26.0% 38.6% 43.8% 32.1% 17.4% 42.5% 19.3% 33.9% % - 0.5% 0.4% % 0.5% % 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% Yes No Field Research Corporation Table
24 Q20a (Banner 3) Registered Voters (Form A) Approve strongly Approve somewhat Disapprove somewhat Disapprove strongly conservative Conservative Political ideology Follow gov/public affairs Household Income Education Now and $20,000 $40,000 $60,000 $80,000 H.S. Some Most of Some of then/ Under Moderate Liberal $100,000+ graduate college/ liberal the time the time hardly $20,000 $39,999 $59,999 $79,999 $99,999 or less 2-year at all College graduate Approve or disapprove Barack Obama is handling his job as President % 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% % 4.8% 5.7% 27.8% 48.5% 56.9% 32.9% 27.7% 18.4% 35.6% 25.1% 24.4% 28.0% 32.8% 42.2% 26.1% 28.0% 30.8% 33.4% % 6.4% 16.6% 33.1% 38.9% 29.7% 19.6% 36.7% 47.1% 26.7% 33.8% 29.6% 30.8% 27.5% 18.7% 23.1% 27.6% 36.1% 23.6% % 12.1% 10.0% 14.7% 10.9% 10.5% 8.2% 13.8% 26.8% 16.9% 13.7% 17.2% 10.3% 10.9% 11.3% 14.7% 10.0% 10.6% 15.3% % 75.2% 67.6% 24.2% 1.7% 2.9% 38.9% 21.8% 7.6% 20.8% 26.5% 28.8% 30.1% 28.8% 27.8% 35.4% 34.3% 22.1% 27.7% % 1.4% - 0.3% % % - 0.8% % - 0.4% - Post graduate Field Research Corporation Table
25 Q20a (Banner 4) Registered Voters (Form A) Approve strongly Approve somewhat Disapprove somewhat Disapprove strongly Tenure Employment status Religion Born Again Form Not Home- Roman Other Agnostic/ Renter Employed employed Protestant owner Catholic religion nothing (all other) Yes No A B C Approve or disapprove Barack Obama is handling his job as President % 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% % 27.6% 35.0% 32.6% 26.4% 22.8% 32.0% 19.8% 36.3% 25.1% 31.0% 29.5% % 24.6% 32.0% 31.7% 24.5% 17.9% 31.4% 34.6% 31.4% 23.5% 29.7% 28.1% % 12.2% 12.1% 11.4% 13.1% 11.9% 13.8% 18.0% 9.6% 10.0% 13.0% 12.2% % 35.4% 20.5% 24.2% 35.7% 46.4% 22.9% 27.6% 22.7% 40.8% 26.1% 29.9% % 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 1.0% % 0.2% 0.3% - - Field Research Corporation Table
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