Snyder leads by 5%, Peters leads by 14% Snyder 48% - Schauer 43% Peters 52% - Land 38%

Transcription

1 P R E S S R E L E A S E FOR RELEASE AFTER 6:30 PM October 28, 2014: Contact: Steve Mitchell Snyder leads by 5%, Peters leads by 14% Snyder 48% - Schauer 43% Peters 52% - Land 38% EAST LANSING, Mich. Governor Rick Snyder has extended his lead from two percent out to five percent over Democratic challenger Mark Schauer, while Congressman Gary Peters increased his lead from thirteen percent to fourteen percent over former Michigan Secretary of State Terri Lynn Land in the U.S. Senate race according to a new Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll of Michigan. In the poll, Snyder has 48%, Schauer 43%, Libertarian Mary Buzuma 2%, U.S. Tax Payers Mark McFarlin 1%, and Green Party Paul Homeniuk 0.4%. Five percent are undecided. In the U.S. Senate Race Peters has 52%, Land 38%, Libertarian Jim Fulner 3%, U.S. Tax Payers Richard Matkin 1%, and Green Party Chris Wahmhoff 1%. Five percent are undecided. The automated survey of 1,159 likely voters in November s General Election was conducted on Oct. 27, 2014 by Mitchell Research & Communications, Inc. for Fox 2 News (WJBK-TV) in Detroit and has a Margin of Error + or 2.88% at the 95% level of confidence. Governor Snyder s support has stayed the same at 48% since our poll last week while Mark Schauer has dropped three percent down to 43%. The Governor seems to be moving away from Schauer and it looks as though Republicans are more engaged. However, Schauer leads by 10% among those who have already voted by absentee ballot (17% of all voters) and he leads by 19% with those who say they will vote by absentee ballot (7% of all voters). Snyder leads by 11% with those who will be voting on Election Day (74%) of all voters. Republicans seem to be getting more engaged than Democrats as we head into the last week. At the same time, Peters also is pulling away from Land, Steve Mitchell CEO of Mitchell Research & Communications said.

2 Page 2 of 10 Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll Press Release 10/28/14 50% 48% 46% 44% 42% 40% Snyder Schauer 38% 36% September 14 of 14 Sept 29 of 14 Oct. 9 of 14 Oct. 12 of 14 Oct. 19 of 14 Oct. 27 of 14 The chart above shows the race for Governor in the five most recent Mitchell Research/Fox 2 (WJBK-TV) Detroit Polls. Peters lead over Land remains in double digits and he has been above 50% in our last two polls. Unless there is a major change, Peters is on path to replace retiring U.S. Senator Carl Levin, said Mitchell. 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% Land Peters 10% 0% September 14 of 14 Sept 29 of 14 Oct. 9 of 14 Oct. 12 of 14 Oct. 19 of 14 Oct. 27 of 14

3 Page 3 of 10 Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll Press Release 10/28/14 Governor Snyder s favorability (49% favorable- 41% unfavorable) is down slightly from last week (50%-38%). His Job approval is also down 2 percent to 54 percent. Schauer s favorable/unfavororable (42%-38%) is very similar to last week (40%-37%), Mitchell said. [Note: Poll must be referred to as Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll] FIELD COPY AGGREGATE PERCENTAGES Survey of the State of Michigan Likely November 2014 General Election Voters Conducted October 27, 2014 (N=1159) Margin of Error +/-2.88 Hi, we re conducting a survey of Michigan voters for TV and radio stations on the Governor s Race and other issues. 1. If you are a registered voter at the household we are calling please press 1. If you re not, press 2. Yes 100% 2. Thinking about the upcoming November General Election for U.S. Senate and Governor, if you have already voted by absentee ballot press 1, if you are planning to vote by absentee ballot press 2, if you are definitely voting on Election Day press 3, probably voting on Election Day press 4, not sure yet if you are voting press 5, or definitely not voting press 6. Voted by Absentee 17% Will vote Absentee 7 Definitely voting 74 Probably Voting 1 If you have already voted, please continue and answer questions the way you voted. Before statewide ballot questions, four quick questions for statistical purposes: 3. What is your age? If you are: 4. If you are a male press 1 or a female press press 8% press press press press or older press 18 Male 48% Female 52

4 5. If you are white/caucasian press 1, African-American press 2, Hispanic press 3, Asian or something else press 4. White 84% African-American 12 Hispanic 1 Asian other 4 6. If you are a: Democrat or lean Democrat press 42% Republican or lean Republican press 38 Another party press 7 Or, Independent press 13 Now I m going to read you a few names. For each, please tell me if you have heard of that name. If you have heard of that name let me know if you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of that person. If you don t know the name, or don t know enough about them to say favorable or unfavorable, you can give me that answer too. 7. Rick Snyder. If you are not aware of Rick Snyder Press 1. Aware with a favorable impression Press 2. Aware with an unfavorable impression Press 3. If you are aware, but don t know enough to say favorable or unfavorable Press 4, and if you are not sure Press 5. Not Aware 5% Favorable 49 Unfavorable 41 Aware/No Impression Mark Schauer. If you are not aware of Mark Schauer Press 1. Aware with a favorable impression Press 2. Aware with an unfavorable impression Press 3. If you are aware, but don t know enough to say favorable or unfavorable Press 4, and if you are not sure Press 5. Not Aware 9% Favorable 42 Unfavorable 38 Aware/No Impression Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President? If you strongly approve press 1, somewhat approve press 2, somewhat disapprove press 3, strongly disapprove press 4, or if you are not sure press 5. Strongly Approve 26% Somewhat Approve 21 48% Somewhat Disapprove 8 51% Strongly Disapprove 43 2

5 10. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Rick Snyder is doing as Governor? If you strongly approve press 1, somewhat approve press 2, somewhat disapprove press 3, strongly disapprove press 4, or if you are not sure press 5. Strongly Approve 30% Somewhat Approve 24 54% Somewhat Disapprove 17 44% Strongly Disapprove If the November 2014 General Election for Governor of Michigan was being held today, would you be voting for Rick Snyder the Republican, Mark Schauer the Democrat, Mary Buzuma the Libertarian, Mark McFarlin the U.S. Tax Payers, or Paul Homeniuk the Green Party Candidate? If you are voting for or lean towards Rick Snyder press 1, if you are voting for or lean towards Mark Schauer press 2, if you are voting for or lean towards Mary Buzuma press 3, if you are voting for or lean towards Mark McFarlin press 4, if you are voting for or lean towards Paul Homeniuk press 5, and if you re not sure yet press 6. Snyder 48% Schauer 43 Buzuma 2 McFarlin 1 Homeniuk < If the November 2014 General Election for U.S. Senator of Michigan was being held today, would you be voting for Terri Lynn Land the Republican, Gary Peters the Democrat, Jim Fulner the Libertarian, Richard A. Matkin the U.S. Tax Payers, or Chris Wahmhoff the Green Party Candidate? If you are voting for or lean towards Terri Lynn Land press 1, if you are voting for or lean towards Gary Peters press 2, if you are voting for or lean towards Jim Fulner press 3, if you are voting for or lean towards Richard A. Matkin press 4, if you are voting for or lean towards Chris Wahmhoff press 5, and if you re not sure yet press 6. Land 38% Peters 52 Fulner 3 Matkin 1 Wahmhoff You must answer the last question or none of your answers will count. What area do you live in? If you live in the: City of Detroit press 6% Wayne County outside of Detroit 13 Oakland County 14 Macomb County 8 Flint, Saginaw, Bay City, Thumb Monroe, Washtenaw, Lansing, Jackson, Mid-Michigan West Michigan 20 Northern Michigan/U.P. 9

6 N= Total 11. Gov Ballot Yes Snyder Schauer Buzuma McFarlin Homeniuk Total % 48.3% 43.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4% 4.7% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2. Voter Prob Voted AV % 41.0% 51.0% 2.0% 1.5% 0.0% 4.5% 17.3% 14.6% 20.3% 16.0% 25.0% 0.0% 16.7% Will Vote AV % 36.6% 56.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 7.3% 7.1% 5.4% 9.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.1% Definitely Voting % 51.3% 40.8% 2.4% 0.9% 0.5% 4.1% 74.4% 78.9% 70.0% 84.0% 66.7% 80.0% 64.8% Probably Voting % 40.0% 20.0% 0.0% 6.7% 6.7% 26.7% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.0% 8.3% 20.0% 7.4%

7 N= Total 11. Gov Ballot Yes Snyder Schauer Buzuma McFarlin Homeniuk Total % 48.3% 43.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4% 4.7% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3. Age % 44.2% 49.5% 2.1% 0.0% 1.1% 3.2% 8.2% 7.5% 9.3% 8.0% 0.0% 20.0% 5.6% % 62.4% 26.2% 2.7% 3.4% 0.0% 5.4% 12.9% 16.6% 7.8% 16.0% 41.7% 0.0% 14.8% % 43.1% 46.6% 3.0% 0.0% 0.4% 6.9% 20.0% 17.9% 21.5% 28.0% 0.0% 20.0% 29.6% % 48.1% 43.6% 2.6% 1.5% 0.8% 3.4% 23.0% 22.9% 23.1% 28.0% 33.3% 40.0% 16.7% % 45.9% 48.3% 1.9% 0.0% 0.5% 3.4% 17.9% 17.0% 19.9% 16.0% 0.0% 20.0% 13.0% % 48.6% 44.3% 0.5% 1.4% 0.0% 5.2% 18.1% 18.2% 18.5% 4.0% 25.0% 0.0% 20.4% Total % 48.3% 43.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4% 4.7% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 4. Gender Male % 52.8% 38.9% 2.9% 0.4% 0.5% 4.5% 47.9% 52.3% 42.9% 64.0% 16.7% 60.0% 46.3% Female % 44.2% 47.5% 1.5% 1.7% 0.3% 4.8% 52.1% 47.7% 57.1% 36.0% 83.3% 40.0% 53.7%

8 N= Total 11. Gov Ballot Yes Snyder Schauer Buzuma McFarlin Homeniuk Total % 48.3% 43.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4% 4.7% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 5. Race White % 53.8% 38.3% 2.0% 1.2% 0.4% 4.3% 83.8% 93.2% 74.0% 76.0% 100.0% 80.0% 77.8% African-American % 8.1% 83.7% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0% 5.9% 11.6% 2.0% 22.5% 12.0% 0.0% 0.0% 14.8% Hispanic % 38.5% 38.5% 23.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.1% 0.9% 1.0% 12.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Asian Other % 55.0% 32.5% 0.0% 0.0% 2.5% 10.0% 3.5% 3.9% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0% 20.0% 7.4% Total % 48.3% 43.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4% 4.7% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 6. Party Democrat % 14.4% 78.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.4% 5.7% 42.0% 12.5% 75.5% 20.0% 16.7% 40.0% 51.9% Republican % 88.9% 5.9% 1.4% 2.0% 0.2% 1.6% 38.0% 69.8% 5.2% 24.0% 75.0% 20.0% 13.0% Another party % 30.1% 41.0% 15.7% 0.0% 1.2% 12.0% 7.2% 4.5% 6.8% 52.0% 0.0% 20.0% 18.5% Independent % 49.7% 42.3% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 6.0% 12.9% 13.2% 12.5% 4.0% 8.3% 20.0% 16.7%

9 N= Total 11. Gov Ballot Yes Snyder Schauer Buzuma McFarlin Homeniuk Total % 48.3% 43.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4% 4.7% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13. Area Detroit % 20.0% 75.4% 3.1% 0.0% 0.0% 1.5% 5.6% 2.3% 9.7% 8.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.9% Wayne % 55.5% 41.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.6% 1.9% 13.4% 15.4% 12.9% 0.0% 0.0% 20.0% 5.6% Oakland % 50.6% 39.6% 2.4% 0.0% 1.2% 6.1% 14.2% 14.8% 12.9% 16.0% 0.0% 40.0% 18.5% Macomb % 60.2% 26.9% 0.0% 2.2% 0.0% 10.8% 8.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% 16.7% 0.0% 18.5% Thumb % 39.7% 49.4% 3.2% 3.8% 0.6% 3.2% 13.5% 11.1% 15.3% 20.0% 50.0% 20.0% 9.3% Mid-Michigan % 47.5% 42.4% 2.5% 0.5% 0.0% 7.1% 17.1% 16.8% 16.7% 20.0% 8.3% 0.0% 25.9% West Michigan % 49.3% 42.4% 3.5% 0.9% 0.0% 3.9% 19.8% 20.2% 19.3% 32.0% 16.7% 0.0% 16.7% Northern MI/U.P % 53.5% 41.4% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 2.0% 8.5% 9.5% 8.2% 4.0% 8.3% 20.0% 3.7%

10 N= Total 12. US Senate Ballot Yes Land Peters Fulner Matkin Wahmhoff Total % 38.1% 52.2% 3.2% 0.8% 0.6% 5.2% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2. Voter Prob Voted AV % 34.5% 57.5% 2.5% 1.0% 1.0% 3.5% 17.3% 15.6% 19.0% 13.5% 22.2% 28.6% 11.7% Will Vote AV % 29.3% 58.5% 1.2% 0.0% 1.2% 9.8% 7.1% 5.4% 7.9% 2.7% 0.0% 14.3% 13.3% Definitely Voting % 40.0% 50.9% 3.6% 0.5% 0.5% 4.5% 74.4% 78.2% 72.6% 83.8% 44.4% 57.1% 65.0% Probably Voting % 20.0% 20.0% 0.0% 20.0% 0.0% 40.0% 1.3% 0.7% 0.5% 0.0% 33.3% 0.0% 10.0%

11 N= Total 12. US Senate Ballot Yes Land Peters Fulner Matkin Wahmhoff Total % 38.1% 52.2% 3.2% 0.8% 0.6% 5.2% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3. Age % 27.4% 65.3% 3.2% 1.1% 0.0% 3.2% 8.2% 5.9% 10.2% 8.1% 11.1% 0.0% 5.0% % 44.3% 47.0% 8.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.9% 15.0% 11.6% 35.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% % 35.3% 52.2% 3.4% 0.9% 0.9% 7.3% 20.0% 18.6% 20.0% 21.6% 22.2% 28.6% 28.3% % 39.8% 50.0% 2.6% 0.8% 1.1% 5.6% 23.0% 24.0% 22.0% 18.9% 22.2% 42.9% 25.0% % 40.1% 54.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.5% 2.9% 17.9% 18.8% 18.5% 10.8% 11.1% 14.3% 10.0% % 37.1% 51.0% 1.0% 1.4% 0.5% 9.0% 18.1% 17.7% 17.7% 5.4% 33.3% 14.3% 31.7% Total % 38.1% 52.2% 3.2% 0.8% 0.6% 5.2% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 4. Gender Male % 42.2% 48.8% 3.1% 0.7% 0.4% 4.9% 47.9% 53.1% 44.8% 45.9% 44.4% 28.6% 45.0% Female % 34.3% 55.3% 3.3% 0.8% 0.8% 5.5% 52.1% 46.9% 55.2% 54.1% 55.6% 71.4% 55.0%

12 N= Total 12. US Senate Ballot Yes Land Peters Fulner Matkin Wahmhoff Total % 38.1% 52.2% 3.2% 0.8% 0.6% 5.2% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 5. Race White % 42.5% 47.4% 3.4% 0.8% 0.5% 5.4% 83.8% 93.7% 76.0% 89.2% 88.9% 71.4% 86.7% African-American % 7.4% 86.7% 0.0% 0.0% 1.5% 4.4% 11.6% 2.3% 19.3% 0.0% 0.0% 28.6% 10.0% Hispanic % 30.8% 46.2% 23.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.1% 0.9% 1.0% 8.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Asian Other % 35.0% 55.0% 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 5.0% 3.5% 3.2% 3.6% 2.7% 11.1% 0.0% 3.3% Total % 38.1% 52.2% 3.2% 0.8% 0.6% 5.2% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 6. Party Democrat % 5.5% 89.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.6% 3.5% 42.0% 6.1% 72.2% 5.4% 11.1% 42.9% 28.3% Republican % 81.1% 9.3% 3.0% 0.9% 0.7% 5.0% 38.0% 81.0% 6.8% 35.1% 44.4% 42.9% 36.7% Another party % 20.5% 47.0% 18.1% 3.6% 1.2% 9.6% 7.2% 3.9% 6.4% 40.5% 33.3% 14.3% 13.3% Independent % 26.8% 59.1% 4.7% 0.7% 0.0% 8.7% 12.9% 9.1% 14.5% 18.9% 11.1% 0.0% 21.7%

13 N= Total 12. US Senate Ballot Yes Land Peters Fulner Matkin Wahmhoff Total % 38.1% 52.2% 3.2% 0.8% 0.6% 5.2% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13. Area Detroit % 13.8% 80.0% 3.1% 0.0% 3.1% 0.0% 5.6% 2.0% 8.6% 5.4% 0.0% 28.6% 0.0% Wayne % 32.9% 59.4% 5.2% 0.0% 0.6% 1.9% 13.4% 11.6% 15.2% 21.6% 0.0% 14.3% 5.0% Oakland % 38.4% 53.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.0% 5.5% 14.2% 14.3% 14.4% 10.8% 11.1% 0.0% 15.0% Macomb % 49.5% 33.3% 2.2% 3.2% 0.0% 11.8% 8.0% 10.4% 5.1% 5.4% 33.3% 0.0% 18.3% Thumb % 31.4% 57.1% 5.1% 0.6% 0.0% 5.8% 13.5% 11.1% 14.7% 21.6% 11.1% 0.0% 15.0% Mid-Michigan % 37.9% 53.5% 2.5% 0.5% 0.5% 5.1% 17.1% 17.0% 17.5% 13.5% 11.1% 14.3% 16.7% West Michigan % 45.4% 43.2% 3.5% 1.3% 0.9% 5.7% 19.8% 23.6% 16.4% 21.6% 33.3% 28.6% 21.7% Northern MI/U.P % 44.4% 49.5% 0.0% 0.0% 1.0% 5.1% 8.5% 10.0% 8.1% 0.0% 0.0% 14.3% 8.3%

14 N= Total 10. Snyder Approval Yes Approve Disapprove Total % 53.6% 44.1% 2.3% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2. Voter Prob Voted AV % 51.5% 46.5% 2.0% 17.3% 16.6% 18.2% 14.8% Will Vote AV % 45.1% 52.4% 2.4% 7.1% 6.0% 8.4% 7.4% Definitely Voting % 54.9% 43.0% 2.1% 74.4% 76.2% 72.6% 66.7% Probably Voting % 53.3% 26.7% 20.0% 1.3% 1.3% 0.8% 11.1%

15 N= Total 10. Snyder Approval Yes Approve Disapprove Total % 53.6% 44.1% 2.3% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3. Age % 38.9% 61.1% 0.0% 8.2% 6.0% 11.4% 0.0% % 75.8% 24.2% 0.0% 12.9% 18.2% 7.0% 0.0% % 45.7% 50.0% 4.3% 20.0% 17.1% 22.7% 37.0% % 51.1% 46.2% 2.6% 23.0% 21.9% 24.1% 25.9% % 52.2% 46.9% 1.0% 17.9% 17.4% 19.0% 7.4% % 57.6% 38.6% 3.8% 18.1% 19.5% 15.9% 29.6% Total % 53.6% 44.1% 2.3% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 4. Gender Male % 56.2% 42.5% 1.3% 47.9% 50.2% 46.2% 25.9% Female % 51.2% 45.5% 3.3% 52.1% 49.8% 53.8% 74.1%

16 N= Total 10. Snyder Approval Yes Approve Disapprove Total % 53.6% 44.1% 2.3% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 5. Race White % 57.7% 40.2% 2.2% 83.8% 90.2% 76.3% 77.8% African-American % 23.7% 71.9% 4.4% 11.6% 5.2% 19.0% 22.2% Hispanic % 53.8% 46.2% 0.0% 1.1% 1.1% 1.2% 0.0% Asian Other % 55.0% 45.0% 0.0% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 0.0% Total % 53.6% 44.1% 2.3% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 6. Party Democrat % 24.2% 73.5% 2.3% 42.0% 19.0% 70.1% 40.7% Republican % 88.2% 10.0% 1.8% 38.0% 62.5% 8.6% 29.6% Another party % 37.3% 53.0% 9.6% 7.2% 5.0% 8.6% 29.6% Independent % 56.4% 43.6% 0.0% 12.9% 13.5% 12.7% 0.0%

17 N= Total 10. Snyder Approval Yes Approve Disapprove Total % 53.6% 44.1% 2.3% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13. Area Detroit % 29.2% 64.6% 6.2% 5.6% 3.1% 8.2% 14.8% Wayne % 61.3% 38.7% 0.0% 13.4% 15.3% 11.7% 0.0% Oakland % 61.6% 37.8% 0.6% 14.2% 16.3% 12.1% 3.7% Macomb % 63.4% 30.1% 6.5% 8.0% 9.5% 5.5% 22.2% Thumb % 44.9% 51.3% 3.8% 13.5% 11.3% 15.7% 22.2% Mid-Michigan % 53.5% 44.9% 1.5% 17.1% 17.1% 17.4% 11.1% West Michigan % 52.4% 45.0% 2.6% 19.8% 19.3% 20.2% 22.2% Northern MI/U.P % 51.5% 47.5% 1.0% 8.5% 8.2% 9.2% 3.7%

18 N= Total 7. Snyder ID Yes Not Aware Favorable Unfavorable Aware/ No Impression Total % 4.7% 49.4% 40.6% 3.0% 2.3% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2. Voter Prob Voted AV % 8.0% 41.0% 43.0% 5.5% 2.5% 17.3% 29.6% 14.3% 18.3% 31.4% 18.5% Will Vote AV % 7.3% 36.6% 51.2% 1.2% 3.7% 7.1% 11.1% 5.2% 8.9% 2.9% 11.1% Definitely Voting % 3.4% 52.8% 39.2% 2.4% 2.2% 74.4% 53.7% 79.4% 71.9% 60.0% 70.4% Probably Voting % 20.0% 40.0% 26.7% 13.3% 0.0% 1.3% 5.6% 1.0% 0.9% 5.7% 0.0%

19 N= Total 7. Snyder ID Yes Not Aware Favorable Unfavorable Aware/ No Impression Total % 4.7% 49.4% 40.6% 3.0% 2.3% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3. Age % 16.8% 49.5% 33.7% 0.0% 0.0% 8.2% 29.6% 8.2% 6.8% 0.0% 0.0% % 2.0% 66.4% 25.5% 6.0% 0.0% 12.9% 5.6% 17.3% 8.1% 25.7% 0.0% % 3.0% 43.5% 47.8% 3.4% 2.2% 20.0% 13.0% 17.6% 23.6% 22.9% 18.5% % 1.5% 48.1% 43.2% 4.1% 3.0% 23.0% 7.4% 22.3% 24.5% 31.4% 29.6% % 2.4% 48.3% 45.9% 1.4% 1.9% 17.9% 9.3% 17.5% 20.2% 8.6% 14.8% % 9.0% 46.7% 37.6% 1.9% 4.8% 18.1% 35.2% 17.1% 16.8% 11.4% 37.0% Total % 4.7% 49.4% 40.6% 3.0% 2.3% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 4. Gender Male % 6.3% 53.0% 38.0% 1.1% 1.6% 47.9% 64.8% 51.3% 44.9% 17.1% 33.3% Female % 3.1% 46.2% 42.9% 4.8% 3.0% 52.1% 35.2% 48.7% 55.1% 82.9% 66.7%

20 N= Total 7. Snyder ID Yes Not Aware Favorable Unfavorable Aware/ No Impression Total % 4.7% 49.4% 40.6% 3.0% 2.3% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 5. Race White % 5.0% 53.6% 37.1% 2.8% 1.5% 83.8% 90.7% 90.8% 76.6% 77.1% 55.6% African-American % 3.0% 17.0% 68.1% 4.4% 7.4% 11.6% 7.4% 4.0% 19.6% 17.1% 37.0% Hispanic % 0.0% 46.2% 46.2% 0.0% 7.7% 1.1% 0.0% 1.0% 1.3% 0.0% 3.7% Asian Other % 2.5% 60.0% 30.0% 5.0% 2.5% 3.5% 1.9% 4.2% 2.6% 5.7% 3.7% Total % 4.7% 49.4% 40.6% 3.0% 2.3% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 6. Party Democrat % 5.5% 16.4% 71.5% 3.7% 2.9% 42.0% 50.0% 14.0% 74.0% 51.4% 51.9% Republican % 3.9% 83.4% 8.4% 3.0% 1.4% 38.0% 31.5% 64.0% 7.9% 37.1% 22.2% Another party % 8.4% 59.0% 26.5% 1.2% 4.8% 7.2% 13.0% 8.6% 4.7% 2.9% 14.8% Independent % 2.0% 51.7% 42.3% 2.0% 2.0% 12.9% 5.6% 13.4% 13.4% 8.6% 11.1%

21 N= Total 7. Snyder ID Yes Not Aware Favorable Unfavorable Aware/ No Impression Total % 4.7% 49.4% 40.6% 3.0% 2.3% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13. Area Detroit % 10.8% 21.5% 56.9% 4.6% 6.2% 5.6% 13.0% 2.4% 7.9% 8.6% 14.8% Wayne % 1.3% 57.4% 37.4% 1.3% 2.6% 13.4% 3.7% 15.5% 12.3% 5.7% 14.8% Oakland % 3.0% 51.2% 39.6% 3.7% 2.4% 14.2% 9.3% 14.7% 13.8% 17.1% 14.8% Macomb % 5.4% 62.4% 29.0% 0.0% 3.2% 8.0% 9.3% 10.1% 5.7% 0.0% 11.1% Thumb % 13.5% 29.5% 48.1% 7.1% 1.9% 13.5% 38.9% 8.0% 16.0% 31.4% 11.1% Mid-Michigan % 2.5% 51.0% 42.9% 2.0% 1.5% 17.1% 9.3% 17.6% 18.1% 11.4% 11.1% West Michigan % 1.7% 57.2% 35.4% 3.5% 2.2% 19.8% 7.4% 22.9% 17.2% 22.9% 18.5% Northern MI/U.P % 5.1% 50.5% 42.4% 1.0% 1.0% 8.5% 9.3% 8.7% 8.9% 2.9% 3.7%

22 N= Total 8. Schauer ID Yes Not Aware Favorable Unfavorable Aware/ No Impression Total % 8.8% 41.9% 37.9% 9.5% 1.9% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2. Voter Prob Voted AV % 16.0% 45.0% 31.0% 6.0% 2.0% 17.3% 31.4% 18.5% 14.1% 10.9% 18.2% Will Vote AV % 9.8% 43.9% 25.6% 17.1% 3.7% 7.1% 7.8% 7.4% 4.8% 12.7% 13.6% Definitely Voting % 6.6% 41.4% 40.8% 9.4% 1.7% 74.4% 55.9% 73.5% 80.2% 73.6% 68.2% Probably Voting % 33.3% 20.0% 26.7% 20.0% 0.0% 1.3% 4.9% 0.6% 0.9% 2.7% 0.0%

23 N= Total 8. Schauer ID Yes Not Aware Favorable Unfavorable Aware/ No Impression Total % 8.8% 41.9% 37.9% 9.5% 1.9% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3. Age % 27.4% 48.4% 24.2% 0.0% 0.0% 8.2% 25.5% 9.5% 5.2% 0.0% 0.0% % 2.7% 34.9% 47.7% 14.8% 0.0% 12.9% 3.9% 10.7% 16.2% 20.0% 0.0% % 6.9% 45.7% 35.8% 10.3% 1.3% 20.0% 15.7% 21.8% 18.9% 21.8% 13.6% % 9.0% 38.7% 41.0% 9.8% 1.5% 23.0% 23.5% 21.2% 24.8% 23.6% 18.2% % 6.3% 46.9% 34.3% 10.1% 2.4% 17.9% 12.7% 20.0% 16.2% 19.1% 22.7% % 9.0% 39.0% 39.0% 8.1% 4.8% 18.1% 18.6% 16.9% 18.7% 15.5% 45.5% Total % 8.8% 41.9% 37.9% 9.5% 1.9% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 4. Gender Male % 10.5% 39.1% 39.1% 10.3% 1.1% 47.9% 56.9% 44.7% 49.4% 51.8% 27.3% Female % 7.3% 44.5% 36.8% 8.8% 2.6% 52.1% 43.1% 55.3% 50.6% 48.2% 72.7%

24 N= Total 8. Schauer ID Yes Not Aware Favorable Unfavorable Aware/ No Impression Total % 8.8% 41.9% 37.9% 9.5% 1.9% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 5. Race White % 8.9% 37.3% 41.9% 10.2% 1.8% 83.8% 84.3% 74.5% 92.7% 90.0% 77.3% African-American % 7.4% 74.1% 10.4% 4.4% 3.7% 11.6% 9.8% 20.6% 3.2% 5.5% 22.7% Hispanic % 7.7% 46.2% 46.2% 0.0% 0.0% 1.1% 1.0% 1.2% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% Asian Other % 12.5% 45.0% 30.0% 12.5% 0.0% 3.5% 4.9% 3.7% 2.7% 4.5% 0.0% Total % 8.8% 41.9% 37.9% 9.5% 1.9% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 6. Party Democrat % 10.1% 72.3% 8.4% 7.8% 1.4% 42.0% 48.0% 72.4% 9.3% 34.5% 31.8% Republican % 8.0% 7.7% 71.6% 10.2% 2.5% 38.0% 34.3% 7.0% 71.8% 40.9% 50.0% Another party % 10.8% 50.6% 31.3% 4.8% 2.4% 7.2% 8.8% 8.6% 5.9% 3.6% 9.1% Independent % 6.0% 38.9% 38.3% 15.4% 1.3% 12.9% 8.8% 11.9% 13.0% 20.9% 9.1%

25 N= Total 8. Schauer ID Yes Not Aware Favorable Unfavorable Aware/ No Impression Total % 8.8% 41.9% 37.9% 9.5% 1.9% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13. Area Detroit % 15.4% 64.6% 10.8% 4.6% 4.6% 5.6% 9.8% 8.6% 1.6% 2.7% 13.6% Wayne % 2.6% 45.8% 38.1% 12.3% 1.3% 13.4% 3.9% 14.6% 13.4% 17.3% 9.1% Oakland % 5.5% 37.2% 46.3% 11.0% 0.0% 14.2% 8.8% 12.6% 17.3% 16.4% 0.0% Macomb % 11.8% 28.0% 52.7% 4.3% 3.2% 8.0% 10.8% 5.3% 11.2% 3.6% 13.6% Thumb % 14.7% 41.0% 32.1% 10.3% 1.9% 13.5% 22.5% 13.2% 11.4% 14.5% 13.6% Mid-Michigan % 7.6% 42.4% 37.4% 10.6% 2.0% 17.1% 14.7% 17.3% 16.9% 19.1% 18.2% West Michigan % 7.0% 44.1% 37.6% 8.7% 2.6% 19.8% 15.7% 20.8% 19.6% 18.2% 27.3% Northern MI/U.P % 14.1% 37.4% 38.4% 9.1% 1.0% 8.5% 13.7% 7.6% 8.7% 8.2% 4.5%

26 N= Total 9. Obama Approval Yes Approve Disapprove Total % 47.6% 50.9% 1.5% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2. Voter Prob Voted AV % 59.0% 39.5% 1.5% 17.3% 21.4% 13.4% 17.6% Will Vote AV % 54.9% 41.5% 3.7% 7.1% 8.2% 5.8% 17.6% Definitely Voting % 44.5% 54.3% 1.2% 74.4% 69.6% 79.3% 58.8% Probably Voting % 33.3% 60.0% 6.7% 1.3% 0.9% 1.5% 5.9%

27 N= Total 9. Obama Approval Yes Approve Disapprove Total % 47.6% 50.9% 1.5% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3. Age % 45.3% 54.7% 0.0% 8.2% 7.8% 8.8% 0.0% % 43.6% 53.7% 2.7% 12.9% 11.8% 13.6% 23.5% % 46.1% 51.7% 2.2% 20.0% 19.4% 20.3% 29.4% % 46.2% 53.8% 0.0% 23.0% 22.3% 24.2% 0.0% % 54.6% 44.0% 1.4% 17.9% 20.5% 15.4% 17.6% % 48.1% 49.5% 2.4% 18.1% 18.3% 17.6% 29.4% Total % 47.6% 50.9% 1.5% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 4. Gender Male % 46.3% 52.3% 1.4% 47.9% 46.6% 49.2% 47.1% Female % 48.8% 49.7% 1.5% 52.1% 53.4% 50.8% 52.9%

28 N= Total 9. Obama Approval Yes Approve Disapprove Total % 47.6% 50.9% 1.5% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 5. Race White % 41.3% 57.1% 1.6% 83.8% 72.6% 93.9% 94.1% African-American % 92.6% 7.4% 0.0% 11.6% 22.6% 1.7% 0.0% Hispanic % 38.5% 53.8% 7.7% 1.1% 0.9% 1.2% 5.9% Asian Other % 52.5% 47.5% 0.0% 3.5% 3.8% 3.2% 0.0% Total % 47.6% 50.9% 1.5% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 6. Party Democrat % 89.7% 8.8% 1.4% 42.0% 79.2% 7.3% 41.2% Republican % 6.6% 92.7% 0.7% 38.0% 5.3% 69.2% 17.6% Another party % 44.6% 51.8% 3.6% 7.2% 6.7% 7.3% 17.6% Independent % 32.9% 64.4% 2.7% 12.9% 8.9% 16.3% 23.5%

29 N= Total 9. Obama Approval Yes Approve Disapprove Total % 47.6% 50.9% 1.5% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13. Area Detroit % 84.6% 15.4% 0.0% 5.6% 10.0% 1.7% 0.0% Wayne % 53.5% 45.8% 0.6% 13.4% 15.0% 12.0% 5.9% Oakland % 54.9% 45.1% 0.0% 14.2% 16.3% 12.5% 0.0% Macomb % 31.2% 68.8% 0.0% 8.0% 5.3% 10.8% 0.0% Thumb % 43.6% 55.8% 0.6% 13.5% 12.3% 14.7% 5.9% Mid-Michigan % 44.9% 52.0% 3.0% 17.1% 16.1% 17.5% 35.3% West Michigan % 42.4% 54.6% 3.1% 19.8% 17.6% 21.2% 41.2% Northern MI/U.P % 41.4% 56.6% 2.0% 8.5% 7.4% 9.5% 11.8%

30 N= Total 6. Party Yes Democrat Republican Another party Independent Total % 42.0% 38.0% 7.2% 12.9% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2. Voter Prob Voted AV % 54.0% 34.5% 6.0% 5.5% 17.3% 22.2% 15.7% 14.5% 7.4% Will Vote AV % 45.1% 36.6% 2.4% 15.9% 7.1% 7.6% 6.8% 2.4% 8.7% Definitely Voting % 39.3% 38.9% 7.7% 14.2% 74.4% 69.6% 76.1% 79.5% 81.9% Probably Voting % 20.0% 40.0% 20.0% 20.0% 1.3% 0.6% 1.4% 3.6% 2.0%

31 N= Total 6. Party Yes Democrat Republican Another party Independent Total % 42.0% 38.0% 7.2% 12.9% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3. Age % 31.6% 18.9% 26.3% 23.2% 8.2% 6.2% 4.1% 30.1% 14.8% % 32.2% 38.9% 8.1% 20.8% 12.9% 9.9% 13.2% 14.5% 20.8% % 47.0% 37.1% 6.5% 9.5% 20.0% 22.4% 19.5% 18.1% 14.8% % 40.6% 39.8% 5.6% 13.9% 23.0% 22.2% 24.1% 18.1% 24.8% % 48.8% 37.2% 3.4% 10.6% 17.9% 20.7% 17.5% 8.4% 14.8% % 43.3% 45.2% 4.3% 7.1% 18.1% 18.7% 21.6% 10.8% 10.1% Total % 42.0% 38.0% 7.2% 12.9% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 4. Gender Male % 36.6% 39.8% 9.4% 14.2% 47.9% 41.7% 50.2% 62.7% 53.0% Female % 47.0% 36.3% 5.1% 11.6% 52.1% 58.3% 49.8% 37.3% 47.0%

32 N= Total 6. Party Yes Democrat Republican Another party Independent Total % 42.0% 38.0% 7.2% 12.9% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 5. Race White % 34.7% 43.3% 7.7% 14.3% 83.8% 69.2% 95.5% 90.4% 93.3% African-American % 91.9% 5.2% 1.5% 1.5% 11.6% 25.5% 1.6% 2.4% 1.3% Hispanic % 61.5% 23.1% 15.4% 0.0% 1.1% 1.6% 0.7% 2.4% 0.0% Asian Other % 45.0% 25.0% 10.0% 20.0% 3.5% 3.7% 2.3% 4.8% 5.4%

33 N= Total 6. Party Yes Democrat Republican Another party Independent Total % 42.0% 38.0% 7.2% 12.9% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13. Area Detroit % 84.6% 6.2% 3.1% 6.2% 5.6% 11.3% 0.9% 2.4% 2.7% Wayne % 47.1% 27.1% 9.0% 16.8% 13.4% 15.0% 9.5% 16.9% 17.4% Oakland % 48.2% 42.1% 1.2% 8.5% 14.2% 16.2% 15.7% 2.4% 9.4% Macomb % 26.9% 47.3% 6.5% 19.4% 8.0% 5.1% 10.0% 7.2% 12.1% Thumb % 40.4% 38.5% 2.6% 18.6% 13.5% 12.9% 13.6% 4.8% 19.5% Mid-Michigan % 44.9% 33.3% 7.6% 14.1% 17.1% 18.3% 15.0% 18.1% 18.8% West Michigan % 27.9% 45.9% 16.6% 9.6% 19.8% 13.1% 23.9% 45.8% 14.8% Northern MI/U.P % 39.4% 50.5% 2.0% 8.1% 8.5% 8.0% 11.4% 2.4% 5.4%