Marquette Law School Poll September 25-28, 2014 Results for Likely Voters

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Clara Barber
5 years ago
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1 Marquette Law School Poll September 25-28, 2014 Results for Likely Voters (ages are rounded to whole numbers for reporting of results. Values ending in.5 are rounded to even whole numbers. Frequencies have been rounded to whole numbers but percentages are calculated based on non-integer weighted sample sizes.) S2. Record Gender Frequency Valid Valid Male Female S3a. Do you currently live in Wisconsin? Frequency Valid Valid Yes S3b. In what county in Wisconsin do you live? Frequency Valid Valid Adams Ashland Barron Bayfield Brown Buffalo Burnett Calumet Chippewa

2 Clark Columbia Crawford Dane Dodge Door Douglas Dunn Eau Claire Fond du Lac Grant Green Green Lake Iowa Jackson Jefferson Juneau Kenosha Kewaunee LaCrosse Lafayette Langlade Lincoln Manitowoc Marathon Marinette Marquette Menominee Milwaukee Monroe Oconto Oneida Outagamie Ozaukee Pierce Polk Portage Price Racine Richland

3 Rock Rusk Saint Croix Sauk Sawyer Shawano Sheboygan Taylor Trempealeau Vernon Vilas Walworth Washington Waukesha Waupaca Waushara Winnebago Wood Other S4. Do you currently live within Milwaukee city limits? Frequency Valid Valid Yes No Total Missing System Total S5. Some people are registered to vote and others are not. Are you registered to vote in the precinct or ward where you now live, or aren't you? Valid Yes, registered to vote No, not registered to vote Frequency Valid

4 No Answer/Don't Know/Refused S6. Do you plan to register to vote, or is there a chance that you may not register? Frequency Valid Valid Plan to Register Missing System Total Would you say you follow what's going on in politics most of the time, some of the time, only now and then or hardly at all? Frequency Valid Valid Most of the time Some of the time Only now and then Hardly at all What are the chances that you will vote in the November 2014 general election for Governor, Congress, and other offices? Frequency Valid Valid Absolutely certain Over the past year, do you feel the economy has gotten better, gotten worse, or stayed about the same? Frequency Valid Valid Gotten better Gotten worse Stayed the same Don't know Refused

5 4. Looking ahead, over the next year do you expect the economy to get better, get worse, or stay about the same? Frequency Valid Valid Get better Get worse Stay the same Don't know Refused Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? Frequency Valid Valid Approve Disapprove Don't know Refused Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Scott Walker is handling his job as Governor of Wisconsin? Frequency Valid Valid Approve Disapprove Don't know Refused Favorable/Unfavorable: Barack Obama Frequency Valid

6 Valid Favorable Unfavorable Haven't heard enough Don't know Refused Favorable/Unfavorable: Scott Walker Frequency Valid Valid Favorable Unfavorable Haven't heard enough Don't know Favorable/Unfavorable: Mary Burke Frequency Valid Valid Favorable Unfavorable Haven't heard enough Don't know Refused Favorable/Unfavorable: Brad Schimel Frequency Valid Valid Favorable Unfavorable Haven't heard enough Don't know

7 Refused Favorable/Unfavorable: Susan Happ Frequency Valid Valid Favorable Unfavorable Haven't heard enough Don't know Refused Favorable/Unfavorable: Paul Ryan Frequency Valid Valid Favorable Unfavorable Haven't heard enough Don't know Favorable/Unfavorable: The Tea Party Frequency Valid Valid Favorable Unfavorable Haven't heard enough Don't know Refused

8 14. If the 2014 election for Governor were held today, would you vote for Mary Burke (BURK), the Democrat or for Scott Walker, the Republican? Frequency Valid Valid Burke Walker Undecided Would not vote Vote for someone else Don't know Refused If the 2014 election for Attorney General were held today, would you vote for Susan Happ, the Democrat or for Brad Schimel (SHIM-el), the Republican? Frequency Valid Valid Happ Schimel Undecided Would not vote Vote for someone else Don't know Refused Do you favor or oppose requiring a government issued photo ID to vote? Frequency Valid Valid Favor Oppose Don't know Refused Do you support or oppose raising the minimum wage?

9 Frequency Valid Valid Support Oppose Don't know Refused How enthusiastic are you about voting in this November's elections? Frequency Valid Valid Very enthusiastic Somewhat enthusiastic Not too enthusiastic Not at all enthusiastic Don't know Do you feel things in Wisconsin are generally going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track? Frequency Valid Valid Right direction Wrong track Don't know Refused Given what you know about the health reform law, do you have a generally favorable or generally unfavorable opinion of it? Frequency Valid Valid Favorable Unfavorable Don't know

10 Refused What would you like to see Congress do when it comes to the health care law? Frequency Valid Valid Keep as is Keep and improve Repeal and replace Repeal and not replace Don't know Refused Would you say the state's budget is in better shape now than it was a few years ago, about the same or in worse shape now? Frequency Valid Valid Better shape now About the same Worse shape now Don't know Should Wisconsin reject federal funds to expand Medicaid or should the state accept the federal funds and expand Medicaid? Valid Reject funds for expansion Accept funds and expand Frequency Valid Don't know Refused

11 24. Should recipients of food stamps and unemployment benefits be required to pass drug tests in order to receive those benefits or would drug testing be a waste of money with little impact? Valid Should pass drug test Drug testing is a waste of money Frequency Valid Don't know Refused Do you think Wisconsin is creating jobs at a faster rate than most other states, at about the same rate, or is Wisconsin lagging behind other states in job creation? Valid Faster than other states About the same rate Frequency Valid Lagging behind Don't know Refused Please tell me whether the following statement describes Scott Walker, or not...he is someone who cares about people like me. Frequency Valid Valid Describes Does not describe Don't know Refused

12 27. Please tell me whether the following statement describes Mary Burke (BURK), or not...she is someone who cares about people like me. Frequency Valid Valid Describes Does not describe Don't know Refused Please tell me whether the following statement describes Scott Walker, or not...he is someone who is able to get things done. Frequency Valid Valid Describes Does not describe Don't know Refused Please tell me whether the following statement describes Mary Burke (BURK), or not...she is someone who is able to get things done. Frequency Valid Valid Describes Does not describe Don't know Refused Will voters be required to present a government issued photo ID in order to vote this November or will they not have to show a photo ID to vote in this election? Valid Required to show photo ID Frequency Valid

13 Not required to show photo ID Don't know Do you have a currently valid photo ID, such as a Wisconsin driver's license, U.S. passport or military ID card? Frequency Valid Valid Yes, have ID No, do not have ID Refused Have you heard or read anything about a news report last week that the Burke (BURK) campaign copied parts of her jobs plan from other Democratic candidates? Frequency Valid Valid Yes, have heard No, have not heard Don't know Does hearing this make you more likely or less likely to vote for Mary Burke (BURK) or does it make no difference in how you will vote? Frequency Valid Valid More likely Less likely Makes no difference Don't know Refused

14 34. Have you heard or read anything about a news report last week that the state ranked 33rd out of the 50 states in job creation in the most recent jobs report? Frequency Valid Valid Yes, have heard No, have not heard Don't know Refused Does hearing this make you more likely or less likely to vote for Scott Walker or does it make no difference in how you will vote? Frequency Valid Valid More likely Less likely Makes no difference Don't know Refused F1. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, or an Independent? Frequency Valid Valid Republican Democrat Independent Other/No preference Don't know Refused F2. Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party or to the Democratic Party?

15 Frequency Valid Valid Republican Democratic Neither/Just Independent Don't know Refused Total Missing System Total Valid F3. What is the highest level of education you completed? Elementary school only Some high school but didn't finish Completed high school Some college but didn't finish Two year college degree Four year college degree Some graduate work Completed masters or professional degree Advanced graduate work or Ph.D. Frequency Valid Don't know Refused F4. Age

16 Frequency Valid Valid

18 F4a. Age range. Frequency Valid Valid years old years old or more Refused Total Missing System Total F5. Are you currently married, widowed, divorced, separated, or have you never been married? Frequency Valid Valid Married Widowed Divorced Separated Never married Refused F6. Are you of Hispanic or Latino origin, such as Mexican, Puerto Rican, Cuban or some other Spanish background? Frequency Valid Valid Yes No Don't know Refused F7. Would you describe yourself as White, African American or Black, Asian, Native American, of more than one race or some other race? Frequency Valid Valid White

19 African American or Black Asian, South Asian or Pacific Islander Native American or American Indian More than one race Hispanic or Latino Other (SPECIFY) Don't know Refused Valid F8. Aside from weddings and funerals, how often do you attend religious services? More than once a week Frequency Valid Once a week Once or twice a month A few times a year Seldom Never Refused F9. What is your religious preference? Frequency Valid Valid Protestant Roman Catholic Jewish Muslim/Islam Mormon/Latter-Day Saints Other Christian Religion

20 Other Non-Christian Religion No Religion/Atheist/Ag nostic Don't know Refused F11. Last year, that is in 2013, what was your total family income from all sources, before taxes? Frequency Valid Valid Less than $10, to under $20, to under $30, to under $40, to under $50, to under $75, to under $100, to under $150, $150,000 or more Don't know Refused F12. Overall, which of the following best describes how the recession affected your own personal financial situation? Frequency Valid

21 Valid It had a major effect, and your finances have not recovered It had a major effect, but your finances have mostly recover It didn't have a major effect on your finances Don't know Refused F13. In general, would you describe your political views as...? Frequency Valid Valid Very conservative Conservative Moderate Liberal Very liberal Don't know Refused F13b. Thinking about the political positions of Scott Walker, from what you've read and heard, would you say he is very conservative, conservative, moderate, liberal, or very liberal? Frequency Valid Valid Very conservative Conservative Moderate Liberal Very liberal Don't know Refused

22 F13c. Thinking about the political positions of Mary Burke (BURK), from what you've read and heard, would you say she is very conservative, conservative, moderate, liberal, or very liberal? Frequency Valid Valid Very conservative Conservative Moderate Liberal Very liberal Don't know Refused F14. Are you or any member of your household a member of a local, state or national labor union? Frequency Valid Valid R In Union Other in Union Non-Union Don't Know Refused F15. Do you or any member of your household work for federal, state, or local government - for example, as a public school teacher, police officer, firefighter, or other government job? Frequency Valid Valid Yes No Refused

23 F17. How many days in the past week did you read a daily newspaper? Frequency Valid Valid None One day Two Three Four Five Six Seven days or 'every day' Don't know Valid F19. Of all the personal telephone calls that you receive, do you get...? All or almost all on a cell phone Some on a cell phone and some on a home phone All or almost all on a regular home phone Frequency Valid Don't know Refused F20. And did I reach you by dialing...? Frequency Valid Valid Yes No

24 F22. Is this a cell phone? Frequency Valid Valid Yes No wave Frequency Valid Valid Sex Frequency Valid Valid Male Female Age 4 categories Frequency Valid Valid DK/NA/Ref Age 6 categories Frequency Valid Valid

25 DK/NA/Ref race categories Frequency Valid Valid White Black Other DK/NA/Ref hispanic Frequency Valid Valid Yes No DK/NA/Ref education categories Frequency Valid Valid Not HS HS Some Coll AA BA or more DK/NA/Ref Education 5 with Post-BA Frequency Valid

26 Valid Not HS HS Some Coll/AA BA Post BA DK/NA/Ref Education 5 with BA Frequency Valid Valid Not HS HS Some Coll AA BA or more DK/NA/Ref Education 6 AA, BA and MA Frequency Valid Valid Not HS HS Some Coll AA BA Post-BA DK/NA/Ref category Party ID including leaners Frequency Valid Valid Republican Democrat Independent

27 DK/NA/Ref category Party ID no leaners Frequency Valid Valid Republican Democrat Independent DK/NA/Ref Party ID 5 categories, leaners separate Frequency Valid Valid Rep Lean Rep Ind Lean Dem Dem DK/NA/Ref Race/Ethnicity Frequency Valid Valid White Black Hispanic Other DK/NA/Ref Income Recode Frequency Valid

28 Valid Under $40k $40k to $74k $75k up DK/NA/Ref Newspaper Recode Frequency Valid Valid Zero days days days Every day DK/NA/Ref Region/Media Market Frequency Valid Valid MKE City Rest of MKE MSN GB/A Rest of state Region2/MKE,Wow,Media Market Frequency Valid Valid MKE City WOW Counties Rest of MKE MSN GB/A Rest of state

29 region7/mke,wow,media Market Frequency Valid Valid MKE City WOW Counties Rest of MKE MSN GB/A Lax/EC MSP/DS/Wau Religion recoded (6 cat) Frequency Valid Valid Protestant/Christian Catholic Jewish Other None DK/NA/Ref qf14 and qf15 - job and union status Frequency Valid Valid Public union Public non-union Private union Private non-union DK/NA/Ref Marital Status, 3 category Frequency Valid

30 Valid Married Widow/Div/Sep Never Married NA/Ref Likely Voter Frequency Valid Valid Likely Voter

Marquette Law School Poll May 15-18, 2014

Marquette Law School Poll May 15-18, 2014 (ages are rounded to whole numbers for reporting of results. Values ending in.5 are rounded to even whole numbers. Frequencies have been rounded to whole numbers