Market Forecast Report Semiconductor and FPD Manufacturing Equipment

Transcription

1 Market Report Semiconductor and FPD Manufacturing Equipment [ fiscal year] Published in Jul. 8th, 215 Semiconductor Equipment Association of Japan

2 [Overview] This report provides a forecast trend for Semiconductor and FPD manufacturing equipment. The fully-considered results made in this forecast report are by the Semiconductor Research and Statistics sub-committee and the FPD Research and Statistics sub-committee of the Semiconductor Equipment Association of Japan (hereinafter called SEAJ, Chairman Mr. Kazuo Ushida), and as the result of market trend research from both the Board of Directors and auditors (total 19 companies) by SEAJ consensus. Due to growth of the FPD manufacturing equipment market in addition to growth in the semiconductor manufacturing equipment market, we predicted overall sales of 1,81.5 billion yen for fiscal year 215, an increase of 15.8 percent and the highest sales amount since the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers. We predicted that both the semiconductor and FPD manufacturing equipment markets will decrease in fiscal year 216 and sales will decrease 5.2 percent to 1,716.3 billion yen. As for fiscal year 217, although the semiconductor manufacturing equipment market is expected to recover, a further decline is expected in the FPD manufacturing equipment market, so we have predicted that overall sales will increase.4 percent to 1,724. billion yen. (1) period: the fiscal year of 215 to 217 for three years (2) items: Japanese Equipment and Japanese Market for Semiconductor and Japanese Equipment for FPD manufacturing equipment (3) Summary: [ of Japanese Equipment Billings for Semiconductor Manufacturing Equipment] We predicted sales of 1,455.7 billion yen, a 12.7 percent increase, for fiscal year 215 reflecting the investment plans of memory manufacturers in addition to steady investment by logic manufacturers and foundries. For fiscal year 216, we have predicted the market will be in adjustment phase after three consecutive years of growth and sales will decrease 4.7 percent to 1,386.6 billion yen. For fiscal year 217, we have predicted that demand for equipment will recover due to mild growth for electronic devices and semiconductors and sales will increase 6.3 percent to 1,474. billion yen. [ of Japanese Market Billings for Semiconductor Manufacturing Equipment] In addition to investments by memory manufacturers, investments by image sensor manufacturers, in particular, were anticipated in fiscal year 215, so we predicted an increase of 2.1 percent to 6.8 billion yen for three consecutive years of high growth. We have predicted in fiscal year 216 for equipment demand of 44.2 billion yen, a 26.7 percent decrease, and for fiscal year 217, we have predicted equipment demand of billion yen, an increase of 4.4 percent. [ of Japanese Equipment billings for FPD Manufacturing Equipment] In fiscal year 215, investments in China for large panels continued and from the second half of the year investments for small/mid-size panels began so we predicted a large expansion of sales to billion yen, an increase of 3.6 percent. For fiscal year 216, we have predicted that investments for small/mid-size panels will continue but investments in large panels are completed, sales will decrease 7.1 percent to billion yen. For fiscal year 217, we have predicted that investments for both large panels and small/mid-size panels will decrease at the same time, and sales will be 25 billion yen, a 24.2 percent decrease. ii

3 July 215 for Semiconductor and FPD Manufacturing Equipment 1.Semiconductor and FPD Manufacturing Equipment for Japanese Equipment Billing Billings(1 million Yen) 3, 27,5 25, 22,5 2, 17, , 年度 -4 12,5 1, 7,5 5, 2, (Fiscal Year) Semiconductor FPD Growth Rate (CAGR: ) Fiscal Year CAGR Semiconductor 15,169 17,778 18,51 7,954 6,528 12,415 12,637 1,284 11,278 12,921 14,557 13,866 14,74 FPD 5,272 5,429 3,761 5,31 2,887 3,84 3,25 2,89 3,485 2,717 3,548 3,297 2,5 Total (1 million yen) 2,441 23,26 22,271 12,985 9,415 16,255 15,887 12,373 14,763 15,638 18,15 17,163 17,24 Growth Rate (%) % P.1

4 July 215 for Semiconductor Manufacturing Equipment 2. Semiconductor Manufacturing Equipment for Japanese Equipment Billing Billings(1 million Yen) 25, 22,5 2, 17,5 15, 12,5 1, 7,5 5, 2, Semiconductor Growth Rate (Fiscal Year) (CAGR: ) Fiscal Year CAGR Total (1 million yen) 15,169 17,778 18,51 7,954 6,528 12,415 12,637 1,284 11,278 12,921 14,557 13,866 14,74 Growth Rate (%) % for Japanese Market Billing * "Japanese Market Billing" = Domestic Billing of Japanese and Foreign manufacturers. Billings(1 Million Yen) 13,5 12, 1,5 9, 7,5 6, 4,5 3, 1,5 年 Semiconductor GrowthRate (Fiscal Year) (CAGR: ) Fiscal Year CAGR Total (1 million yen) 8,658 1,241 1,694 5,567 2,13 4,162 4,552 2,363 3,653 5,3 6,8 4,42 4,596 Growth Rate (%) % P.2

5 July 215 for Semiconductor and FPD Manufacturing Equipment 3.FPD Manufacturing Equipment for Japanese Equipment Billing Billing (1 million ) 8, 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 年 Growh Rate(%) , FPD Growth Rate (Fiscal Year) (CAGR: ) Fiscal Year CAGR Total (1 million yen) 5,272 5,429 3,761 5,31 2,887 3,84 3,25 2,89 3,485 2,717 3,548 3,297 2,5 Growth Rate (%) % P.3