The Internet of Things is Now: M2M Devices Forecast
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1 The Internet of Things is Now: M2M Devices Forecast Cisco Visual Networking Index 2014 Forecast Robert Pepper Vice President, Global Technology Policy October 2014
2 VNI Projections and Actuals (Global) Actual Growth Has Been Within 10% of Projected Growth Projected in 2010 Actual Exabytes per Month IP Traffic in 2013 Source: Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast,
3 Average Global Traffic per Device Growth M2M Module = 78 MB 514 MB Smartphone = 1.0 GB 5.4 GB Tablet = 4.0 GB 18.0 GB Laptop/PC = 22.7 GB 39.2 GB Ultra High Definition TV = 22.9 GB* 26.3 GB* * Includes IP VoD Traffic Source: Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast,
4 Global Connected Devices Growth by Type By 2018, M2M More than a Third of the Total Connections Billions of Devices % CAGR Other Portable Devices (5.2%,4.1%) Tablets (2.3%,5.0%) PCs (12.2%,7.0%) TV (10.0%,12.8%) Non-Smartphones (37.6%,16.8%) Smartphones (14.1%,19.1%) 0.0 M2M (18.6%,35.2%) Source: Cisco VNI Global IP Data Traffic Forecast,
5 US Connected Devices Growth by Type Fastest Growing Devices: M2M and Tablets Billions of Devices % CAGR Other Portable Devices (12.4%,6.3%) Tablets (4.9%,6.3%) PCs (17.5%,8.2%) TV (22.9%,23.3%) Non-Smartphones (6.2%,0.1%) Smartphones (10.9%,8.9%) 0.0 M2M (25.2%,46.8%) Source: Cisco VNI Global IP Data Traffic Forecast,
6 Western Europe Connected Devices Growth by Type By 2018, M2M Nearly Half of the Total Connections Billions of Devices % CAGR Other Portable Devices (10.5%,7.4%) Tablets (3.5%,6.5%) PCs (16.8%,8.7%) TV (14.3%,15.6%) Non-Smartphones (14.5%,0.4%) Smartphones (13.8%,14.4%) 0.0 M2M (26.6%,47.0%) Source: Cisco VNI Global IP Data Traffic Forecast,
7 CEE Connected Devices Growth by Type By 2018, M2M Over a Third of the Total Connections Billions of Devices % CAGR Other Portable Devices (4.7%,5.4%) Tablets (1.8%,7.2%) PCs (12.4%,7.8%) TV (3.9%,8.8%) Non-Smartphones (43.4%,13.4%) Smartphones (15.2%,21.7%) M2M (18.5%,35.7%) Source: Cisco VNI Global IP Data Traffic Forecast,
8 Latin America Connected Devices Growth by Type By 2018, M2M and Smartphones Over Half of the Total Connections Billions of Devices % CAGR Other Portable Devices (3.1%,4.4%) Tablets (1.4%,4.8%) PCs (14.9%,9.1%) TV (4.4%,13.3%) Non-Smartphones (47.3%,17.5%) Smartphones (14.1%,24.2%) M2M (14.7%,26.7%) Source: Cisco VNI Global IP Data Traffic Forecast,
9 MEA Connected Devices Growth by Type By 2018, Smartphones Nearly A Third of the Total Connections Billions of Devices % CAGR Other Portable Devices (1.7%,2.2%) Tablets (1.0%,4.0%) PCs (5.2%,4.2%) TV (1.4%,3.4%) Non-Smartphones (69.3%,43.3%) Smartphones (14.8%,29.7%) 0.0 M2M (6.7%,13.2%) Source: Cisco VNI Global IP Data Traffic Forecast,
10 Emerging Asia Connected Devices Growth by Type By 2018, Non-Smartphones Dominate; But Growth in Smartphones, M2M Billions of Devices Source: Cisco VNI Global IP Data Traffic Forecast, Other Portable Devices (2.7%,2.6%) Tablets (1.9%,4.1%) PCs (8.7%,5.9%) TVs (4.8%,7.8%) Non-Smartphones (62.6%,41.3%) Smartphones (11.5%,21.9%) M2M (7.8%,16.3%) Note: Emerging Asia covers Asia but excludes the largest economies (China, Japan, Korea, India, Indonesia) 8% CAGR 10
11 Japan Connected Devices Growth by Type By 2018, M2M and Smartphones Over 77% of the Total Connections Billions of Devices % CAGR Other Portable Devices (4.4%,3.1%) Tablets (1.9%,3.0%) PCs (14.6%,7.0%) TVs (10.8%,8.8%) Non-Smartphones (14.2%,0.3%) Smartphones (11.1%,12.7%) 0.0 M2M (42.9%,65.3%) Source: Cisco VNI Global IP Data Traffic Forecast,
12 Korea Connected Devices Growth by Type By 2018, M2M Over Two-Thirds of Devices Billions of Devices % CAGR Other Portable Devices (3.5%,2.0%) Tablets (2.4%,2.8%) PCs (11.6%,4.7%) TVs (10.7%,10.7%) Non-Smartphones (5.4%,0.1%) Smartphones (18.9%,12.4%) M2M (47.5%,67.3%) Source: Cisco VNI Global IP Data Traffic Forecast,
13 India Connected Devices Growth by Type By 2018, Smartphones, Tablets and M2M Growing Fastest Billions of Devices % CAGR Other Portable Devices (1.2%,2.0%) Tablets (0.9%,4.2%) PCs (4.2%,3.1%) TVs (4.7%,11.9%) Non-Smartphones (72.8%,34.6%) Smartphones (11.5%,34.5%) M2M (4.7%,9.8%) Source: Cisco VNI Global IP Data Traffic Forecast,
14 China Connected Devices Growth by Type By 2018, M2M Growing Fastest Billions of Devices % CAGR Other Portable Devices (2.6%,2.3%) Tablets (1.6%,3.7%) PCs (12.4%,7.0%) TVs (11.7%,12.2%) Non-Smartphones (32.7%,17.8%) Smartphones (18.5%,17.4%) M2M (20.5%,39.6%) Source: Cisco VNI Global IP Data Traffic Forecast,
15 Global IP Traffic by Device Type By 2018, Non-PC Devices will Drive 57% of Global IP Traffic Exabytes per Month % CAGR Non-Smartphones (0.1%,0.1%) Other Portable Devices (0.1%,0.4%) M2M (0.4%,2.8%) Tablets (2.2%,14.0%) Smartphones (3.5%,16.3%) TV (26.5%,23.6%) 0 PCs (67.2%,42.8%) Source: Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast,
16 USA IP Traffic by Device Type By 2018, Non-PC Devices will Drive 71% of US IP Traffic Exabytes per Month % CAGR Non-Smartphones (0.0%,0.0%) Other Portable Devices (0.0%,0.2%) M2M (0.2%,2.0%) Tablets (3.9%,18.8%) Smartphones (3.5%,9.9%) TV (45.5%,39.9%) PCs (46.9%,29.1%) Source: Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast,
17 WE IP Traffic by Device Type By 2018, Non-PC Devices will Drive Over Half of WE IP Traffic Exabytes per Month % CAGR Non-Smartphones (0.0%,0.0%) Other Portable Devices (0.1%,0.4%) M2M (0.4%,3.4%) Tablets (1.9%,15.4%) Smartphones (2.7%,12.8%) TV (22.4%,20.9%) 0 PCs (72.4%,47.1%) Source: Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast,
18 CEE IP Traffic by Device Type By 2018, Non-PC Devices will Drive 50% of CEE IP Traffic Exabytes per Month % CAGR Non-Smartphones (0.1%,0.2%) Other Portable Devices (0.0%,0.5%) M2M (0.3%,2.9%) Tablets (1.5%,16.3%) Smartphones (3.4%,21.9%) TV (6.1%,8.6%) 0 PCs (88.6%,49.5%) Source: Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast,
19 Latin America IP Traffic by Device Type By 2018, Non-PC Devices will Drive Nearly 40% of LATAM IP Traffic 21% CAGR Exabytes per Month Non-Smartphones (0.1%,0.1%) Other Portable Devices (0.1%,0.5%) M2M (0.2%,2.0%) Tablets (1.0%,9.4%) Smartphones (2.3%,13.9%) TV (5.3%,12.7%) PCs (91.1%,61.4%) Source: Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast,
20 MEA IP Traffic by Device Type By 2018, Non-PC Devices will Drive Nearly Half of MEA IP Traffic Exabytes per Month % CAGR Non-Smartphones (0.5%,0.9%) Other Portable Devices (0.0%,0.4%) M2M (0.3%,1.7%) Tablets (1.5%,10.7%) Smartphones (8.8%,32.2%) TV (4.1%,3.4%) 0 PCs (84.8%,50.7%) Source: Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast,
21 Emerging Asia IP Traffic by Device Type By 2018, PCs Still Driving two-thirds of Emerging Asia s IP Traffic Exabytes per Month Source: Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast, Non-Smartphones (0.2%,0.5%) Other Portable Devices (0.2%,0.4%) M2M (0.1%,1.3%) Tablets (1.2%,7.3%) Smartphones (2.3%,19.8%) TV (3.9%,5.5%) PCs (92.1%,65.1%) Note: Emerging Asia covers Asia but excludes the largest economies (China, Japan, Korea, India, Indonesia) 19% CAGR 21
22 Japan IP Traffic by Device Type By 2018, Non-PC Devices will Drive Nearly 70% of Japan s IP Traffic 27% CAGR Exabytes per Month Non-Smartphones (0.5%,0.0%) Other Portable Devices (0.1%,0.4%) M2M (1.3%,5.5%) Tablets (2.6%,17.7%) Smartphones (12.3%,33.7%) TV (23.6%,12.2%) PCs (59.6%,30.5%) Source: Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast,
23 Korea IP Traffic by Device Type By 2018, Non-PC Devices will Drive Nearly Two-Thirds of India s IP Traffic Exabytes per Month % CAGR Non-Smartphones (0.0%,0.0%) Other Portable Devices (0.0%,0.2%) M2M (0.5%,3.6%) Tablets (1.3%,8.3%) Smartphones (3.4%,19.1%) TV (7.7%,10.2%) 0 PCs (87.0%,58.6%) Source: Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast,
24 India IP Traffic by Device Type By 2018, Non-PC Devices will Drive Nearly Two-Thirds of India s IP Traffic 4 39% CAGR Non-Smartphones (0.7%,0.5%) Exabytes per Month Other Portable Devices (0.6%,1.5%) M2M (0.3%,1.1%) Tablets (0.9%,8.0%) Smartphones (8.4%,40.7%) TV (13.3%,13.7%) 0 PCs (75.8%,34.5%) Source: Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast,
25 China IP Traffic by Device Type By 2018, Non-PC Devices Over Half of Traffic 19% CAGR Exabytes per Month Non-Smartphones (0.1%,0.1%) Other Portable Devices (0.1%,0.3%) M2M (0.4%,3.6%) Tablets (0.6%,7.6%) Smartphones (1.4%,10.2%) TV (34.3%,32.7%) PCs (63.2%,45.5%) Source: Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast,
26 Technical and Policy Issues Remain Some More Relevant to Cities than Others Technical Policy Reliability Scaling Electrical Power Standards & Interoperability Privacy & Security Spectrum & Bandwidth Constraints Cross-border data traffic Legacy Regulatory Models 26
27 Thank you.
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