Vodafone Chair Mobile Communications Systems, Prof. Dr.-Ing. G. Fettweis The Next Big Waves In The Information Technology Roadmap

Transcription

1 Vodafone Chair Mobile Communications Systems, Prof. Dr.-Ing. G. Fettweis The Next Big Waves In The Information Technology Roadmap Gerhard Fettweis Green Visiting Professor UBC Vodafone Chair Professor TU Dresden IEEE SSCS Distinguished Speaker

2 Some of Industry s Needs Disruptive Innovations New products New markets New players Product Ideas Creating waves of enthusiasm For happy customers To jump-start new markets Regulation & Standardization & Policies To enable technology To create markets To create trust for fair play TU Dresden Gerhard Fettweis Slide 2

3 Vodafone Chair Mobile Communications Systems, Prof. Dr.-Ing. G. Fettweis Broadband

4 CISCO Mobile Data Forecast (2010) Albrecht Fehske Slide 4

5 Coverage: Cellular 100Gb/s Short links (1m) 10Gb/s 1Gb/s USB 2.0 UWB intention USB c ac/ad WLAN (10m) 100Mb/s ag n LTE Advanced 10Mb/s 1Mb/s 100Kb/s USB b HSDPA 3G R99 / EDGE HSPA WiMAX LTE Cellular (100m) 10Kb/s GSM GPRS TU Dresden Gerhard Fettweis Slide 5

6 The Wireless Roadmap 100Gb/s 10Gb/s Short links (1m) WLAN (10m) 1Gb/s 100Mb/s 10Mb/s 1Mb/s 100Kb/s 10Kb/s 10x 100x Cellular (100m) ITRS Roadmap: Continues until TU Dresden Gerhard Fettweis Slide 6

7 100x Data Rate Disruptions? 3Mb/s high-definition video stream considerably narrow-band Killing terrestrial broadcast infrastructure? Network architecture? Infrastructure: consumer products business SON, HW solutions, Power consumption TU Dresden Gerhard Fettweis Slide 7

8 Spectrum Reuse: Micro/Macro Setup TU Dresden Gerhard Fettweis Slide 8

9 Spectral Efficiency License Cost (GER) 1Hz paired ~ EUR Mb/s /sector goal: - GSM: 1GHz 100B - LTE: 80MHz 8B - Theory: 10MHz 1B Spectral Efficienncy bit/s/hz/sector GAP 0,1 0,3 0,5 1,6 GSM EDGE HSPA LTE EASY-C Theory YEARS Of Engineering further YEARS Of Engineering ? TU Dresden Gerhard Fettweis Slide 9

10 GSM: Speed of Light is Slow Path 2: 5,55 km Path 1: 4,44 km GSM-Symbol 1110 m ~ 3,7 s GSM: 5km path length difference!! Up to 5 old symbols interfere!! TU Dresden, Gerhard Fettweis Slide 10

11 3G/UMTS: Speed of Light is Extremely Slow Path 2: 4,45 km 3G-Symbol Path 1: 4,44 km s ~ m 12m ~ 3,7 s 3G: 5km path length difference!! Up to 500 old symbols interfere!! TU Dresden, Gerhard Fettweis Slide 11

12 LTE: Speed of Light is OK!!! Path 2: 25,44 km Guard: 5km { Path 1: 4,44 km LTE-Symbol 70 s ~ 21km 1110 m ~ 3,7 s LTE: 5km path length difference!! ZERO old symbols interfere!! TU Dresden, Gerhard Fettweis Slide 12

13 Network Optimization: Micro/Macro Setup How to manage and optimize radio access/interference over so many alternatives & distances? TU Dresden Gerhard Fettweis Slide 13

14 Vodafone Chair Mobile Communications Systems, Prof. Dr.-Ing. G. Fettweis Displays

15 Disruptions? Every display will be online Examples why Public transport Web access on fridge TU Dresden Gerhard Fettweis Slide 15

16 Project Vision: CoolReader ~240 kwh/year ~80 kwh/year ~4 Wh/day <1 Wh/day 16 CoolReader Energy Autonomous E-Paper with Broadband Wireless Connection 10/15/2010

17 Vodafone Chair Mobile Communications Systems, Prof. Dr.-Ing. G. Fettweis Positioning

18 Today: Infrastructure Terminal Source: TU Dresden Gerhard Fettweis Slide 18

19 Next Wave: Terminal Infrastructure Source: BMW Research TU Dresden Gerhard Fettweis Slide 19

20 Vodafone Chair Mobile Communications Systems, Prof. Dr.-Ing. G. Fettweis Sensors

21 WWRF Vision 7 trillion wireless devices for 7 billion people by 2017 TU Dresden Gerhard Fettweis Slide 21

22 Wireless Sensor Networks Scenarios and Applications: TU Dresden MINATRONIK: Sensor Nodes in Cellular Networks Slide 22

23 Volume Numbers Driver Things 2.0 Any item which not only consumes but delivers data into the internet for the community As part of a thing network (not only social networks) Wireless communications key! Think Thingbook not Facebook! TU Dresden Gerhard Fettweis Slide 23

24 Things 2.0 : The Next Volume Wave!!! Cars 2.0 Rain, temperature, light, speed, GPS, destination, traction Home 2.0 Energy, temperature, light, humidity, position, wind, Road 2.0, Trains 2.0, Planes 2.0, Congestion, speed, weather, destination, Hobbies 2.0 Skiing 2.0, boating 2.0, surfing 2.0, TU Dresden Gerhard Fettweis Slide 24

25 Project: Cool SensorNets Rotor blades 1 MW, Offshore Airplane structures: New compound materials Solution / Goal Energy autonomous wireless sensors Laminated into compound materials years durability 25 Spitzencluster "Cool Silicon"

26 Sensing Assumed required parameters 100s duty cycle 50B per packet 4b/s Battery life: 5 years operations Spectral efficiency: 0.2 b/s/hz/sector 10ccm Business model 1/year billing 10% of one LTE channel used (2 of 20MHz) 400kb/s/cell sensing data possible 100k sensors/sector Germany: ~10B sensing revenue per operator ~250 sensors per customer TU Dresden Gerhard Fettweis Slide 26

27 Major Challenge Battery life of 5-10 years Based on today: 1000x improvement needed TU Dresden Gerhard Fettweis Slide 27

28 Energy: Choosing The Modulation TU Dresden Gerhard Fettweis Slide 28

29 Understanding The Protocol TU Dresden Gerhard Fettweis Slide 29

30 Energy: Choosing The Modulation TU Dresden Gerhard Fettweis Slide 30

31 Current Paradigm of Cellular sensor master slave TU Dresden Gerhard Fettweis Slide 31

32 Required Paradigm of Cellular sensor master slave TU Dresden Gerhard Fettweis Slide 32

33 Additional Challenges Awaiting Large Numbers! Sensor Management One operator: 10B sensors Environmental Management 1T sensors per year TU Dresden Gerhard Fettweis Slide 33

34 Vodafone Chair Mobile Communications Systems, Prof. Dr.-Ing. G. Fettweis Computing

35 Year T transistors per chip 1M processors per chip 100B cellular terminals on planet Earth how, why? 2012/13: 100% WW penetration! TU Dresden Gerhard Fettweis Slide 35

36 LTE FDD/ TDD/ WiMAX Single-Chip SDR: Tomahawk - Die Photo 130nm UMC 57M transistors Silicon since Jan PLL Scratchpad Core Manager 10 mm 2x Xtensa DC212GP STA LDPC Decoder/ Deblocker ASIP PLL In 45 nm CMOS: Complete LTE BB < 10mm 2 < 100mW 10 mm STA Vector DSP 3x DDR Controller 2x STA SIOUX PLL TU Dresden Gerhard Fettweis Slide 36

37 Moore Versus Cellular 100Gb/s 10Gb/s 1Gb/s 100Mb/s 10Mb/s 1Mb/s Clk: 2x data rate Clk: 100x data rate Baseband: 1/n?-chip Baseband: 1-chip Clk: 10x data rate Clk: 500x data rate Baseband: ¼-chip Baseband: 1-chip Clk: 100x data rate Baseband: 1-chip Clk: 1000x data rate Baseband: 1-chip LTE Advanced Clk: 2000x data rate HSPA LTE Baseband: 3-chip HSDPA WiMAX Cellular (100m) 100Kb/s 3G R99 / EDGE 10Kb/s GSM GPRS TU Dresden Gerhard Fettweis Slide 37

38 Moore Versus Cellular 100Gb/s 10Gb/s 1Gb/s 100Mb/s 10Mb/s 1Mb/s Clk: 2x data rate Clk: 100x data rate Baseband: 1/n?-chip Baseband: 1-chip Clk: 10x data rate Clk: 500x data rate Baseband: ¼-chip Baseband: 1-chip Clk: 100x data rate Baseband: 1-chip Clk: 1000x data rate Baseband: 1-chip LTE Advanced Clk: 2000x data rate HSPA LTE Baseband: 3-chip HSDPA WiMAX 100Kb/s 3G R99 / EDGE 10Kb/s GSM GPRS TU Dresden Gerhard Fettweis Slide 38

39 Apps Smart Phone / Internet Server internet App Server TU Dresden Gerhard Fettweis Slide 39

40 Data Delivery: Incearing Amount of Animated 3D Graphics 3D graphics, e.g.: Triangles Positioned in space With texture Viewpoint Object selection Projection Vase: FHG HHI Berlin Talk at RAEng Gerhard Fettweis Slide 40

41 3D Graphics 3G data usage killer app Streaming video 4G Personal video channels? 5G 3D graphics and personal view angle? Data: Triangles & texture How to transmit? Ho to cache? How to build network architecture? TU Dresden Gerhard Fettweis Slide 41

42 Realtime Apps: Distributed Control internet App Realtime Non Realtime Server TU Dresden Gerhard Fettweis Slide 42

43 Enabling Realtime Apps: Examples 3D Multimedia Rendering Gaming / Education Voice Codecs Sensor Control Emergency Traffic Speed Cameras Anti-collision systems Virtual Reality TU Dresden Gerhard Fettweis Slide 43

44 Vodafone Chair Mobile Communications Systems, Prof. Dr.-Ing. G. Fettweis Conclusions

45 Application Driven Cellular 2G 1992 Voice Messages 3G Data + Positioning 4G Broadband Data + 3D Graphics & M2M 5G 20xx + Realtime Apps + Virtual Reality TU Dresden Gerhard Fettweis Slide 45

46 Conclusions TU Dresden Gerhard Fettweis Slide 46

47 Vodafone Chair Mobile Communications Systems, Prof. Dr.-Ing. G. Fettweis Thanks to UBC for inviting me as Green Visiting Professor! Thanks to Vodafone for 16 years of continued support!

48 Spectrum: Licensed or Unlicensed? USB type point-to-point unlicensed WAN coverage with service guarantee licensed Where is the right cut? Cost, deployment, service provisioning Spectrum economics TU Dresden Gerhard Fettweis Slide 48

49 Vodafone Chair Mobile Communications Systems, Prof. Dr.-Ing. G. Fettweis Historic Perspective Coping with the PA Coping with Time Coping with Space Frequency