Asia Pacific Trends and Outlook - Industry 4.0 and Implications for Sustainability
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1 Asia Pacific Trends and Outlook - Industry 4.0 and Implications for Sustainability, Special Advisor to the CEO PATA
2 Asia Pacific Visitor Arrivals Year-to-Date 2012 to 2017
3 IVAs into Asia Pacific, ytd Destinations in total IVAs, mns Period Change, % 350 7% IVAs, mns ,1% 242,341 5,5% 255, , ,614 4,6% 4,6% 293,693 5,0% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% Annual Growth, % 50 1% Year-to-Date 0%
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8 Key Origin Markets into Asia Pacific Early 2017
9 China Vietnam Macao SAR Hong Kong SAR Indonesia Japan Cambodia Philippines USA Singapore Malaysia Change in the Volume of Arrivals from China, 2016 YTD to 2017 YTD
10 Japan Hong Kong SAR Korea (ROK) Thailand Hawaii Vietnam Macao SAR Canada Australia Chinese Taipei Mexico Change in the Volume of Arrivals from Japan 2016 YTD to 2017 YTD
11 Republic of Korea Japan Vietnam Philippines Chinese Taipei Macao SAR Thailand Northern China Hong Kong SAR Guam Change in the Volume of Arrivals from the Republic of Korea, 2016 YTD to 2017 YTD
12 Russian Federation Thailand Indonesia Korea (ROK) Singapore Malaysia Japan Maldives Philippines Cambodia Sri Lanka Change in the Volume of Arrivals from the Russian Federation, 2016 YTD to 2017 YTD
13 The United Kingdom USA New Zealand Indonesia Canada Singapore China Australia Japan Sri Lanka Philippines Change in the Volume of Arrivals from the United Kingdom, 2016 YTD to 2017 YTD
14 Marginal Shift in Top Generating Markets Into Asia Pacific, 2011 & 2016
15 IVAs by Origin Markets, 2016 In millions Origin 2011 Origin 2016 Hong Kong SAR China China Hong Kong SAR USA USA Canada Canada Macao SAR Macao SAR Japan Korea (ROK) Singapore Japan United Kingdom Singapore Mexico Mexico Korea (ROK) Chinese Taipei Chinese Taipei United Kingdom Germany Australia Australia Germany Russian Federation Malaysia Malaysia Indonesia Total Total % of Total IVAs 75.5 % of Total IVAs 75.0
16 A Rapidly Changing Context Welcome to Industry 4.0
17 The future is already here - it's just not evenly distributed. William Gibson The Economist December 04, 2003
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22 The Result A Single Point of Insight
23 Amadeus Travel Intelligence Alexander Rayner Asia Pacific Representative Amadeus Travel Intelligence Media Solutions travel audience October 2017
24 Travel Technology since countries 15,000+ people Travel Agents Airlines Airports Hotels Rail.. Destination Marketing 3,800,000,000 travel transactions every day Digital Marketing Consumers (B2C) Travel Agents (B2B) Travellers (B2B2C) Destination Insight Search Schedule Navigator Traffic Top View
25 Enable Data Driven Decisions Leveraging unique data assets and sources from Amadeus Destination Insight Search (Demand) Traffic (True O/D passengers) Top View (Analytics) Schedule (Available Seats) Navigator (GDS Bookings) 2016 Amadeus IT Group SA
26 Demand 2016: World to Chengdu by City
27 Available Seats 2017: World to Chengdu
28 GDS Passengers 2017: World to Chengdu By travel Date
29 GDS Nights 2017: World to Chengdu By travel Date
30 Welcome to the World of Big Data Where 90% of the data in the world today has been created in the last two years. This data comes from everywhere: sensors used to gather shopper information, posts to social media sites, digital pictures and videos, purchase transactions, and cell phone GPS signals to name a few. This data is BIG DATA IBM Consumer Products Industry Blog Ralph Jacobson, 2013
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32 Daily online information sent & received >2.5 quintillion bytes of data (25 x or 2.5 Exabytes)
33 Bits & Bytes Measure Capacity (bytes) Kilobyte One thousand - 1,024 Megabyte One million Gigabyte One billion Terabyte One trillion Petabyte One quadrillion Exabyte One quintillion Zettabyte One sextillion Yottabyte Brontobyte (Geobyte)
34 A Zettabyte Hard Drive Would Cover...
35 New Storage Possibilities... Soft Matter - a viable data storage medium where microscopic particles suspended in liquid could be used to encode the same etc., that are stored on solid hard drive platters today. Clusters of these particles could one day be used to store up to 1TB of data in one tablespoon of liquid hard drive.
36 Four Disruptions Driving I The extraordinary rise in data volumes, computational power, and connectivity, especially new low-power wide-area networks. 2. The emergence of analytics and business-intelligence capabilities. 3. New forms of human-machine interaction such as touch interfaces and augmented-reality systems. 4. Improvements in transferring digital instructions to the physical world, such as advanced robotics and 3-D printing.
37 13 SMART TECHNOLOGIES SHAPING INDUSTRY 4.0
38 Where is the Tourism Connection?
39 Proximate AR Proximate AR knows rough location, but lacks the sensors to accurately map a physical space in 3D, so nearby objects may jump around, but can still exist in an approximate location. Sufficient for many kinds of tasks and is cheap and easy to implement into everyday devices such as smartphones and tablets. Pokémon Go is the most widespread touchpoint for proximate AR (but primitive)
40 Precise AR Precise AR involves sensors that can accurately map a 3D environment and seamlessly integrate virtual objects into that physical space: gives them a sense of permanence, existing and behaving as if they were real. If you place a virtual coffee cup on a physical table, it will rest exactly on top of the table, not partially inside the table, not floating above it. Precise AR is what s necessary for the AR multiverse to fully realise its potential.
41 Precise AR The Microsoft HoloLens headset was released as a developer kit in March 2016 and is the standard bearer for precise AR although it is still not yet marketed to the general public.
42 Can robots escort passengers to the gate, and can chatbots really support customer service? Maybe... but there s a more immediate opportunity. As travel technology becomes more intelligent, it creates a digital layer that both simplifies access to, and measurement of, data. It is within this digital layer that true personalisation can occur. Wade Jones Interim President of the Sabre Travel Network September 2017
43 Need to rethink & reconfigure Our data sources. 2. Our analytical tools & processes 3. Our way of thinking
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53 The Participatory Society...is already on its way, and in some areas, it is already here.
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55 The Evolution of SDL Vargo & Lusch (2004)
56 Will I4.0 Affect Us? ABSOLUTELY
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60 How Does I4.0 Improve Global Sustainability? 1. Better resource allocation and adoption of circular economy processes. 2. Resources = us.
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62 Whatever We Do, We Must Not... Become data rich but insight poor And Never, Ever...
63 Raise False Hopes/Expectations
64 Rely on Poor Analysis
65 :) 谢谢
66 References BBC Future Series, 2014 BCG Perspectives: Industry 4.0: The Future of Productivity and Growth in Manufacturing Industries. April 2015 ExtremeTech: July Helbing, D FuturICT Marketoonist.com: October 2017 McKinsey Manufacturing s Next Act June Sabre: Augmented Reality Digital Immersion in Physical Space (Blog). The Economist, May 2017
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