Next Generation Mobility: the WiMAX opportunity

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1 Internatinal Telecmmunicatin Unin Next Generatin Mbility: the WiMAX pprtunity Marc Carugi ITU-T Q.2/13 Rapprteur Senir Advisr, Nrtel Netwrks Dar es Salaam, 3-5 Octber 2006

2 Wireless Industry dynamics Vice still king MOU and subscriber grwth, but New Wireless Applicatins Bradband devices Mbile Vide Entertainment Vice + Bradband Migratin t Wireless 1. Next Generatin Mbility WiMAX d here tday fr fixed EV-DO and HSDPA fighting fr market in 3G WiMAX e, Rev C & LTE n hrizn 2. Mbile Applicatin Slutins - IMS Vice : Dual Mde with WiFi, Single UI Vide : Optimized delivery Dar es Salaam, 3-5 Octber

Users Drivers fr Bradband Wireless: Internet explding and ging

game devices Massive memry ipd 60GB Slingbx Mbile Vide Player

16e enabled ntebks Applicatins Internet explding (Vide, VIP)

Bit Trrent Needs Greatest bandwidth Lwest csts devices &

3 Users Drivers fr Bradband Wireless: Internet explding and ging mbile Devices nt just mbile phnes Embedded wireless laptps, game devices Massive memry ipd 60GB Slingbx Mbile Vide Player Intel WiMAX e enabled ntebks Applicatins Internet explding (Vide, VIP) Interactive Multi player gaming with VIP P2P Vide, Mbile Vide, Bit Trrent Needs Greatest bandwidth Lwest csts devices & delivered bit Seamless mbile applicatins Experience Bandwidth, Cst & Seamless Experience Dar es Salaam, 3-5 Octber

4 Frm Persnal Cmputers t Persnal Bradband 1980 s PC 2000 PC 2010 PC 2020 PBs! Memry 256KB 256MB 8GB 256GB Disk 10M 10G 320G 10TB Access Bandwidth 1.2 Kbps (mdem) 1.2 Mbps (cable/dsl) 40Mbps 1.2Gbps Memry, disk and access bandwidth have all increased by 3 rders f magnitude By 2010 Bradband access will mean 40 Mbps++ and by Gbps Dar es Salaam, 3-5 Octber

Outgrwing the smartphne Hme Audi & Vide Hme Theater

Mbile Inftainment PDA, DMB, PND Mbile Cmmunicatr DBDM

Inftainment Telematics Car Audi/Vide Ntebk PC UM PC

5 Outgrwing the smartphne Hme Audi & Vide Hme Theater System DVD Recrder Mbile Entertainment MP3 Player PMP Mbile Inftainment PDA, DMB, PND Mbile Cmmunicatr DBDM PDA Phne PC The Screen defines Bradband Devices Car Inftainment Telematics Car Audi/Vide Ntebk PC UM PC Desktp PC Adapted frm LGE Dar es Salaam, 3-5 Octber

Next Generatin Mbility psitining Bradband Nmads: PC s & PDA s Ease f use & lw cst acquisitin Alternative t hme BB with mbility Nt Mbile Vice: that s Cellular real time, ubiquitus, urgency, narrwband

6 Next Generatin Mbility psitining Bradband Nmads: PC s & PDA s Ease f use & lw cst acquisitin Alternative t hme BB with mbility Nt Mbile Vice: that s Cellular real time, ubiquitus, urgency, narrwband Nt Enterprise Mbility: that s WiFi bunded gegraphy, best-effrt, free (r nearly) Nt Cnsumer at Hme: that s WiFi t Mbile Multi-Megabit Internet Everywhere withut the premium price Laptps PDAs Gaming & Music VIP Lw Cst per Delivered Bit = OFDM / MIMO Lw Cst Increment t Devices = Embedded Chipsets Dar es Salaam, 3-5 Octber

7 Imprving Radi Access Efficiency Rate, Range & Reliability FDMA Frequency Frequency TDMA Time Time AMPS, TACS, NMT 1G 2G TDMA, PDC GSM GPRS/EDGE 4G 3G OFDMA Frequency Frequency CDMA Time LTE, AIE, WiMAX Time CDMA EVXDO UMTS HSDPA Dar es Salaam, 3-5 Octber

8 What the Industry is saying Althugh cmpetitin, faster speeds, lwer prices and new services will remain recurring themes in the bradband market; bradband is becming a key element f netwrk evlutin plans fr peratrs arund this wrld. BradbandTrends.cm WiMAX services revenues will reach US $16.5B by SenzaFili Cnsulting Dar es Salaam, 3-5 Octber

9 WiMAX: a new Business Case 3G+ Incumbent Operatr Vice and Data 30 Mbps $200 Handsets Telecm Qualcmm $50 - $70 / mnth WiMAX Any Operatr VIP and Data 100 Mbps Centrin embedded Internet Intel and Others $20 - $40 / mnth Dar es Salaam, 3-5 Octber

10 WiMAX Frum messages WiMAX delivering n its prmise Certified /HiperMAN prducts readied in Q Multiple 3.5GHz TDD and FDD prducts during 06 WiMAX is getting market acceptance WiMAX Frum membership grwth accelerating >350 Over 175 peratrs trialing WiMAX: mstly fixed WiMAX (16d) tday and transitining t 16e in next few mnths, leading up t cmmercial deplyments in mid 2007 in multiple cuntries WiMAX fast frward Mbile WiMAX Certificatin lab n track t pen in Q (TTA/Cetecm) Spectrum: G, G,?5G,?<2GHz (5/10/20MHz Channel BW) Persnal mbile Internet Terminals glbally Surce: WiMAX Frum Dar es Salaam, 3-5 Octber

11 WiMAX Frum membership: 4 years and grwing 356 WiMAX Frum Members 86 Ecsystem/Applicatins/Cntent 121 Service Prviders 71 System Vendrs 78 Silicn/Cmpnent Suppliers Spring 2004 Tday Surce: WiMAX Frum Dar es Salaam, 3-5 Octber

12 WiMAX applicatins being explred 1. TV Bradcast 2. Hmeland Security (Gespatially-Awareness) 3. Vide On Demand 4. Highway Patrl 5. Vehicle Tracking 6. Triple-play (vide, audi, data) 7. Sprts 8. Prtable Internet service 9. Mbile Bradband 10. Vide Transprt/Distributin 11. Vide Streaming 12. Mbile (Train) 13. Mbile (Ship), Ad hc ndemand netwrk 14. Distant Learning 15. Mbile (Airplane) 16. Mbile (Bus) 17. Peer-t-peer vide file-sharing 18. Public Safety 19. Security Surveillance 20. Truck Fleet Management 21. Wireless Meter Reading 22. Ad hc, n-demand netwrk 23. HD Cntent Delivery 24. Animal care 25. Weather Mnitring, Streaming Vide 26. Advertising 27. Sprts 28. Oil Rig Cnnectivity 29. Telematics 30. Wireless Medical PMP (Prtable Media Player) Applicatin Dar es Salaam, 3-5 Octber

13 WiMAX fr Persnal Internet WiMAX has the pprtunity t becme ne f the main stream slutins fr new cnverged persnal Internet services different frequencies ; wider channel size WiMAX enables the new persnal, true bradband, real-time applicatins Prtable DSL services Cmplementary t fixed access at hme with seamless mbility Always-n best served WiMAX all-ip infrastructure extending wire line bradband innvatin & cntent Surce: WiMAX Frum Dar es Salaam, 3-5 Octber

14 WiMAX fits fr any Operatr Mbile Operatrs Expand in areas where 3G spectrum is nt available Reduce cst/bit/hz ver the access netwrk New applicatins Fixed Netwrk Operatrs An pprtunity t ffer subscribers mbile bradband services Mre ecnmical Ht Zne service A mean fr fixed mbile cnvergence Cable cmpanies Wireless cmplementary business Fit their MVNO mdel Satellite Can use the WiMAX as a return channel prblem slver Wireless cmplementary business (Ht spt / Ht zne) Access t bradband applicatins and cntents Surce: WiMAX Frum Dar es Salaam, 3-5 Octber

15 WiMAX is key t always best cnnected bradband mdel GSM, CDMA WiMAX WiMAX Wi-Fi WiMAX Wi-Fi Urban Rural Suburbs Urban Affrdable multi Mbps wireless Internet anywhere Dar es Salaam, 3-5 Octber

16 WiMax CPE availability and CPE csts $500 Outdr Antenna $300 Mdem $100 PCMCIA Card $50 $ Integrated in laptps and PDAs Integrated in high-end mbile phnes 2009 *Surce fr cst estimates: Alcatel, Alvarin and Intel Integrated in mainstream mbile phnes 2012 Surce: Frrester Research Inc Dar es Salaam, 3-5 Octber

Bradband Wireless Made Simple > Vide is the next vice t disrupt netwrks > Applicatins increasingly drive value > Cnnectivity fr Cnsumer devices Nrtel Slutin: Bradband Wireless Made Simple with WiMAX,

17 Bradband Wireless Made Simple > Vide is the next vice t disrupt netwrks > Applicatins increasingly drive value > Cnnectivity fr Cnsumer devices Nrtel Slutin: Bradband Wireless Made Simple with WiMAX, IMS & Metr Ethernet Backbne Deliver vice, vide, and multimedia applicatins at bradband speeds acrss always n, access-independent, cst-efficient netwrks Imprve netwrk efficiency and minimize ttal cst f wnership by cnverging netwrks and reducing backhaul csts Dar es Salaam, 3-5 Octber

18 Africa Internet usage Grwing fast but penetratin is lw 2006 Estim. Ppulatin (in Billin) Pp. % Internet Users (Millin) Penetratin (% f Ppulatin) % Users Wrld Usage Grwth ( ) Ttal fr Africa % % 3% 626% Rest f Wrld % % 97% 196% WORLD TOTAL % % 100% 201% Dar es Salaam, 3-5 Octber

19 Huge ptential fr Bradband Access market 30 OECD Bradband subscribers per 100 inhabitants, by technlgy, December 2005 DSL Cable Other OECD average 5 0 Iceland Krea Netherlands Denmark Switzerland Finland Nrway Canada Sweden Belgium Japan United States United Kingdm France Luxemburg Austria Australia Germany Italy Spain Prtugal New Zealand Ireland Czech Republic Hungary Slvak Republic Pland Mexic Turkey Gree ce Surce: OECD Bradband Wireless mst suitable fr Develping Cuntries with pr DSL/Cable Infrastructure Dar es Salaam, 3-5 Octber

20 Summary 1. Next Generatin Mbility is upn us 2. Cnsumer Prducts are the drivers, nt Telecm 3. WiMAX e first t market 4. Affrdable multi Mbps wireless Internet anywhere 5. Bradband Wireless mst suitable fr Develping Cuntries with pr DSL/Cable Infrastructure Dar es Salaam, 3-5 Octber

21 Thank yu fr yur attentin Dar es Salaam, 3-5 Octber

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