The f ut ur e car bon footpr int of t he ICT and E&M sect or s

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1 The f ut ur e car bon footpr int of t he ICT and E&M sect or s (E&M = Entertainment and Media) Jens Malmodin and Pernilla Bergmark, Ericsson Research Dag Lundén, TeliaSonera

2 backgr ound Overall global carbon footprint There is a strong political will to reduce fossil fuel incineration. Fossil fuels also contribute to other impacts and is a limited resource. billion tonne CO 2 e (CO 2 equivalents) ~ 48 Gtonne CO 2 e CH 4 ~ 6,9 Gtonne CO 2 e N 2 O ~ 3,5 Gtonne CO 2 e High GWPs ~,7 Gtonne CO 2 e Land use ~ 3,3 Gtonne CO 2 e 33,4 Gtonne CO 2 Direct CO 2 from fossil fuel incineration and industrial processes (e.g. cement production) Public Ericsson AB Page 2

3 backgr ound Overall global carbon footprint There is a strong political will to reduce fossil fuel incineration. Fossil fuels also contribute to other impacts and is a limited resource. billion tonne CO 2 e (CO 2 equivalents) ~ 48 Gtonne CO 2 e CH 4 ~ 6,9 Gtonne CO 2 e N 2 O ~ 3,5 Gtonne CO 2 e High GWPs ~,7 Gtonne CO 2 e Land use ~ 3,3 Gtonne CO 2 e 33,4 Gtonne CO 2 Direct CO 2 from fossil fuel incineration and industrial processes (e.g. cement production) The ICT reference study 1) Malmodin, J., Å. Moberg, D. Lundén, G. Finnveden, N. Lövehagen. 21. Greenhouse gas emissions and operational electricity use in the ICT and entertainment & media sectors. Journal of Industrial Ecology. 21. million tonne CO 2 e User PCs Data centers million tonne CO 2 e ICT 1,3% of global CO 2 e E&M Fixed telecom 1,7% of global CO 2 e 27 Mobile telecom TVs & peripherals Other E&M devices Printers & copiers Printed media Public Ericsson AB Page 3

4 Methodology ICT reference study Reuse definition of ICT and E&M Compare to OECD definitions Analysts, other org (e.g. IDC, Gartner, ITU) Sales and subscription statistics Prognoses about 5 year ahead Extrapolation of prognoses up to 22 LCA data (embodied CO 2 e) TVs, PCs, tablets, Smart phones, mobile phones, CPE (home modems/routers), paper media, other consumer electronics Servers and other network equipment (low embodied:use ratio) Public Ericsson AB Page 4 Other important sources Global data traffic (Ericsson, Cisco) Data centers (Koomey, IDC) CDP and CSR data (ICT companies) Operation studies (e.g. GSMA) Own data, connected devices scenario Network equipment manufacturing, infrastructure deployment and network operation (own LCA data) Connected devices scenario Number of devices Time Resulting CO 2 e Energy consumption, embodied CO 2 e per device

5 ICT CO2e est imat e Absolute carbon footprint: Connected devices scenario Mobile networks and mobile devices (incl. tablets) PCs (all forms, not incl. tablets) Data centers, data transmission & enterprise networks Home devices (fixed phones, CPE) Fixed networks Mtonne CO 2 e 6 billion devices/users 12.5 billion devices/users 5x more data Intensity metrics: kg CO 2 e/user Mobile user Fixed user Average ICT user kg CO 2 e/gb Public Ericsson AB Page Fixed data (~ total data) Mobile data

6 ICT and E&M footprint : Mtonne CO 2 e Mtonne CO 2 e : 1.3% of global CO 2 e ICT networks, phones and CPE PCs and data centers 1.9% ICT networks, phones and CPE PCs and data centers 1.3% 2% Uncertain forestry impact Paper media,.4% Other electronic products TVs and TV peripherals Uncertain forestry impact Paper media,.4% Other electronic products TVs and TV peripherals PCs and data centers ICT networks, phones and CPE TVs and TV peripherals Other electronic products Paper media Uncertain forestry impact In 22 the share of global CO 2 e is estimated to ~2% for ICT and ~2% for E&M ICT E&M (incl. paper media) Public Ericsson AB Page 6

7 How Connect ed devices impact s 22: Mtonne CO 2 e B ICT boxes* +16 B ICT modules* 12.5 B ICT devices/users ICT E&M Other electronics New connection points (e.g. mobile broadband gateways) Site controllers TVs and TV perhipherals (incl. game consoles), Audio devices Cameras & Camcorders Car infotainment etc. +12 B ICT modules Only electronics part Vehicles, home appliances, HVACs, health care, meters security, machinery, (military) etc. +5 B Others Sensors & tags Connected devices scenario Baseline Paper media * Included in the ICT and E&M 22 footprints Public Ericsson AB Page 7

8 Benchmar king to Smar t er22 The carbon footprint of the ICT sector 27 Our ICT reference study SMART 22 Printers and overestimate of mobile networks This study SMARTer 22 This study SMARTer 22 CO 2 from fossil fuels and cement only (ref: WRI) Printers Mtonne CO 2 e Public Ericsson AB Page 8

9 Conclusions ICT represents 2 % of global carbon footprint (CO 2 e) in 22 Limited growth in spite of substantial increase in data traffic, number of users and connectivity of devices E&M sector represents another 2% Discussion areas identified Boundary setting, uncertainty and sensitivity, data availability, metrics The use of sector assessments and technology potential assessments Presentation at ICT4Sustainability conference ICT footprint 22 Ericsson AB Page 9

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