Modelling with AR&R 2016
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1 Modelling with AR&R 2016
2 XP Solutions Software for modeling wastewater, stormwater, and floods Graphical User Interface (GUI) and analytical engines CAD/GIS type interface and data management tools Graphical reports, maps, animations 1D analytical engine solves the complete St. Venant (Dynamic Flow) equations for gradually varied, one dimensional, unsteady flow 2D analytical engine embedded as xp2d
3 XP-LIVE Webinars XP-LIVE educational program Webinars have been recorded and are available at Certificates Sent Automatically Password at End Question/Answer
4 Introduction HWRS Conference ARR What do we have to do now??? Practical Application When do we have to do it Overview
5 There was a book most of us liked There was a conference And now there is a tome Introduction
6 Workshop Lots of technical papers Monte Carlo Regional Flood Frequency Estimation (RFFE) Rational Method The Debate is Over HWRS Conference
7 Available via online and as an epub 9 Books Lots of chapters Currently ~1,400 pages to digest More to be finalised ARR
8 ARR Book 1 Book 2 Book 3 Book 4 Book 5 Book 6 Book 7 Book 8 Book 9 Book Status Advanced Draft Working Draft Advanced Draft In Preparation Working Draft Working Draft In Preparation Advanced Draft In Preparation
9 ARR
10 ARR
11 ARR Temporal Patterns 12 Regions (up from 8 Zones) Patterns define the weighting of the local rainfall (i.e. front, middle or back loaded) Figure Temporal Pattern Regions (ARR, 2016)
12 ARR Hydrology Baseflow Figure Key Characteristics for Calculation in a Flood Hydrograph (ARR, 2016)
13 ARR Hydrology Baseflow Losses Is there an initial loss??? Must account for pre-burst rainfall Figure Key Characteristics for Calculation in a Flood Hydrograph (ARR, 2016)
14 ARR Hydrology Baseflow Losses Is there an initial loss??? Must account for pre-burst rainfall Please read Book 5 Figure Recommended median loss values (ARR, 2016)
15 ARR Monte Carlo Routines Source: xkcd.com
16 Regional Flood Frequency Estimation Model (RFFE) Available via the ARR website (links at the end) ARR
17 Regional Flood Frequency Estimation Model (RFFE) Available via the ARR website (links at the end) Provides a useful catchment scale assessment of discharge ARR
18 Read the document Start thinking about systems Take on board the updated data from the Bureau of Meteorology Get ready now What do we have to do now???
19 What do we have to do now??? Continue to use our products Incorporate new routines to streamline data input and results output for the new aspects Release the new features
20 What do we have to do now??? We already have the applicable hydrograph methods to design pipe networks and overland flow systems in: xprafts (hydrology and limited hydraulics) xpstorm & xpswmm (hydrology and advanced 1D/2D hydraulics)
21 Model full catchment systems Take on board the updated data from the Bureau of Meteorology Reduce the reliance on the Rational Method for design Practical Application
22 Practical Application Integrate the design of urban drainage systems using full hydrograph methods to assess volume
23 Practical Application Beyond the design storm burst Antecedent rainfall conditions Boundary condition assessment and coincident probability analysis New areal reduction factors (ARF s)
24 Practical Application Monte Carlo Randomly create and assign data from probability distributions or pre-defined number of combinations (e.g. 10,000 combinations) If multi-threading is enabled, assign files to solve on different instances of the engine Solve the models either consecutively or concurrently Read output data and generate results summaries
25 Practical Application 350 Peak Flow vs Roughness Peak Outflow (cumecs) Manning's 'n' Q2 peak flow Q100 Peak flow Return Period Min Q (m 3 /s) Max Q (m 3 /s) Mean Q (m 3 /s) St Dev
26 Practical Application Consider updating any model you have ever worked on In an efficient way
27 Consider more aspects of safety in design Evacuation Trafficabilty Blockage Practical Application
28 Practical Application
29 Practical Application
30 When do we have to do it??? Questionable Review your local authority and state policies Sit tight and wait for the final version to be released over the next few months Wait for March
31 Questions? Comments? Thank you for joining this presentation Contact XP Solutions AU: NZ: Americas: amsales@xpsolutions.com Asia Pacific: ausales@xpsolutions.com EMEA: uksales@xpsolutions.com
Gavin Fields Senior Water Resources Engineer XP Solutions
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