Hard Drive Research at NSIC
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1 Hard Drive Research at NSIC Barry H. Schechtman Executive Director National Storage Industry Consortium THIC Meeting Del Mar, California January 24, 1996 National Storage Industry Consortium THIC 1/26/96
2 NSIC INCORPORATED: APRIL, 1991 MISSION: INCREASE THE WORLDWIDE COMPETITIVENESS OF THE U.S. INFORMATION STORAGE INDUSTRY STRATEGIC ELEMENTS: JOINT RESEARCH ON HIGH-RISK ADVANCED STORAGE TECHNOLOGIES OBTAIN GOVERNMENT FUNDING TECHNOLOGY ROADMAPS MAXIMIZE VALUE OF UNIVERSITY RESEARCH SPOKESBODY FOR INDUSTRY NSICMISS.DOC
3 Corporate Members APPLIED MAGNETICS CENSTOR COMMONWEALTH SCIENTIFIC CONNER PERIPHERALS DATATAPE DIGITAL INSTRUMENTS EASTMAN KODAK GTE GOVERNMENT SYSTEMS HEADWAY TECHNOLOGIES HEWLETT-PACKARD HUGHES HUTCHINSON TECHNOLOGY IBM INTEVAC VACUUM SYSTEMS KLA INSTRUMENTS KOMAG MAXTOR NONVOLATILE ELECTRONICS ONTRACK COMPUTER SYSTEMS OPTITEK PACIFIC SIERRA RESEARCH QUANTUM READ-RITE ROCHESTER PHOTONICS ROCKWELL ST-GOBAIN ADV MATERIALS SDL SEAGATE STORAGETEK STORMEDIA TERABANK SYSTEMS UNIPHASE VEECO INSTRUMENTS WESTERN DIGITAL ZYGO National Storage Industry Consortium 1/1/96
4 Associate Members ALABAMA ARIZONA CAL TECH CARNEGIE MELLON DAYTON GEORGE WASHINGTON GEORGIA TECH IDEMA LAWRENCE LIVERMORE NAT L LAB LOS ALAMOS NATIONAL LAB MIT MINNESOTA NAT L INST OF STDS & TECHNOLOGY NATIONAL MEDIA LAB NORTHWESTERN NEBRASKA OHIO STATE PENN STATE PITTSBURGH RICE SANTA CLARA STANFORD SRI INTERNATIONAL UC BERKELEY UCLA UC SAN DIEGO UC SANTA BARBARA WASHINGTON UNIV National Storage Industry Consortium 1/1/96
5 NSIC Research Projects CURRENT SWAT: Compact Blue Laser Source ATP ( ): 3 companies, 2 universities HEADS: GMR Heads for 10 Gb/in 2 ATP ( ): 9 companies, 7 universities UHDR: 10 Gb/in 2 Magnetic Disk Recording 1 TB/in 3 Magnetic Tape Recording 2.5 Gb/in 2 Optical Media ARPA ( ): 14 companies, 16 universities PRISM: Holographic Storage Materials ARPA ( ): 6 companies, 1 university HDSS: Holographic Storage Systems ARPA ( ): 7 companies, 4 universities UCOD: 1 Terabyte Optical Disk ATP ( ): 2 companies, 1 university PENDING EHDR: 40 Gbit/in 2 Magnetic Disk Recording NASD: Network Attached Storage Devices National Storage Industry Consortium IEEE-1/16/96
6 National Storage Industry Consortium RDMPR1PM
7 NSIC 10Gb/sqin demo NSIC 40Gb/sqin demo IBM 500 Mbit/sqin demo IBM 1Gb/sqin demo IBM 3Gb/sqin demo Industry AD Trend (27% CAGR) HG95_ALL.WR1 HG95ADR1 National Storage Industry Consortium
8 P L E A S E T A K E N O T E : 60% CGR Means 10 Every 5 Years T h i s I s N o t E a s y!! View.doc
9 Overall Product Parameters Units Areal Density Gb/sq.in Bit Density 100 K 400 K 800 K bits/in Track Density 6 K 25 K 50 K tracks/in Physical Spacing < 5 nm Data Rate (65 mm disk) Mb/sec National Storage Industry Consortium NIST8/95-3
10 THIC10.doc
11 THIC11.doc
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19 More Paradigm Changes Likely Heads: Media: Head-Disk: Tracking: Channel: Inductive MR GMR CMR? Ferrite Plated Film Thin Film/Laminate? Particles Continuous Discrete? Binder Overcoat Bare? Flying Near-Contact Contact? Sector Continuous Two-stage? Analog Digital Enhanced Digital? National Storage Industry Consortium NIST8/95-11
20 THIC20.doc
21 Forecasting Future Terabyte Distribution Scenarios for Terabyte Distribution by Segment 100% 90% 80% Entertainment Analog to Digital 70% 60% 50% Image in Business 40% 30% 20% Alphanumeric 10% 0% National Storage Industry Consortium NSIC Report - The Terabyte Wedge TBW-6
22 Target Market Segments Storage Industry - Application Market Segments High Perform ance Requirements - F ile Size / Resolution - Data Rates - Time t o First Data - Reliability - Distribution Infrastructure Medical Imaging Busi ness "Alpha" Computing Low Business Multimedi a On-line "Alpha" Computing Modest Cost Sensitivity Home "Alpha" Computing Motion Picture and Com mercial Photography Cost Requi rements - HDD Cost - S ystems Cost - Distribution Costs - E tc. Virtual Prototype and Testing Consumer Photography Digital Li braries Document Conversion Consumer Video Gam es Video on Demand Extreme Cost S ensitvity Segments Alphanumeric Computing Images & Sound in Business Analog to Digital Conversion Entertainment Note: S ize of the B ubble = NS IC view of relative storage m arket opportunity 1995 National Storage Industry Consortium NSIC Report - The Terabyte Wedge TBW-8
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