2013 Honeywell Users Group Europe, Middle East and Africa. Darius Adamczyk Honeywell Welcome and Industry Perspective

Transcription

1 2013 Honeywell Users Group Europe, Middle East and Africa Darius Adamczyk Honeywell Welcome and Industry Perspective

2 Agenda Foreword Global Manufacturing and CAPEX trends Industrial Automation Imperatives My Priorities for HPS

3 Welcome This is your event: By the Users for the Users Over 1,000 attendees today Thank you for Your Business and Your Commitment HUG Collaborating to Solve Your Biggest Challenges

4 Safety is Our 1 st Priority 2.5 Total Case Incident Rate 2.0 Industry HPS

5 My Observations on HPS Customer relationships are paramount to HPS DCS is core to our DNA, but we are much more than a DCS company Knowledge is at the center of everything we do HPS clear technology leader Plant Lifecycle approach to our relationships

6 Agenda Foreword Global Manufacturing and CAPEX trends Industrial Automation Imperatives My Priorities for HPS

7 Technology resurrected US Oil Supply. Could the North Sea be next? Million boepd Oil Production in Texas Current Forecasts UK O&G 2,400 2,000 Thousands of barrels Actual Production 1, Forecast Range 1, Carpe Diem Blog Source: EIA Source: UK O&G Economic Outlook Report, 2013

8 Refining Capacity Shifting from Western Europe to FSU-MEA mb/d Europe Demand vs Refining Capacity Demand Capacity mb/d FSU Demand vs Refining Capacity Demand Capacity 14 closures since 2008 (-1.7 mb/d), mainly smaller refineries that could not process heavy crude Expansion of refining in USA hurting demand for traditional EU gasoline exports Local mix imbalance: overcapacity in gasoline, tightness in diesel Old capacity focused on fuel oil Modernization required to increase gasoline and diesel output and comply with higher fuel standards Aiming to export diesel to Europe mb/d Middle East Demand vs Refining Capacity Demand Capacity 2 nd Highest capacity expansion globally after China Competitive advantage due to cheaper feedstock and upstream integration Aiming to meet local demand and export to Asia Source: International Energy Agency (IEA), Oil Medium Term Market Report 2013

9 NOCs Led Countries Spending More than IOCs Driven by National Oil Companies (NOCs) Driven by International Oil Companies (IOCs) Source: IHS, World Industry Service Oil & Gas and Refining Top 20 Spenders CAPEX $US B Country 2012 United States 206 Russia 96 China 78 Brazil 55 Canada 55 Saudi Arabia 29 Norway 28 UAE 23 Australia 22 Mexico 21 Qatar 19 United Kingdom 17 Indonesia 17 India 15 Nigeria 14 Venezuela 9 Japan 8 Colombia 8 Italy 7 South Korea 6 NOCs led countries represent 56% of Top 20 CAPEX Spent

10 Index Number Mining: Prices Fever Cooling Down Metals Price Index Source: IMF Metals Index Incl. Aluminum, Copper, Iron Ore, Nickel, Zinc, Uranium, Lead, Tin

11 Mining: CAPEX Still Growing in Australia, Latin America and Africa Nominal CAPEX ($US B) Africa Australia LAR Source: IHS, World Industry Service

12 Paper Demand Growing in Emerging Countries Annual Demand Growth (%) India China Russia Middle East Africa Eastern Europe Latin America Rest of Asia Average Growth 1.6% 0-1 Oceania Western Europe North America Japan Source Poyry Share of Consumption (%)

13 Agenda Foreword Global Manufacturing and CAPEX trends Industrial Automation Imperatives My Priorities for HPS

14 Safety Has Plateaued Evolution of work place fatalities in Great Britain Fatal work injury rate (per 100,000 full-time equivalent workers) Trailing 2-year average data SOURCE: Statistics on fatal injuries in the workplace; Health and Safety Executive; Great Britain

15 Asset Protection and Security, a New Reality 27B Annual Loss to The British Economy due to Cyber-Crimes Multiple cyber threats: Industrial processes disruption (Stuxnet-2010) Stealing of business information (Flame-2012) Data loss (Shamoon-2012) *ICS = Industrial Control Systems

16 Reliability Can Be Improved in at Least 80% of Industrial Sites Uptime % Uptime % 96% 94% 92% 90% 88% 86% 84% 82% 80% 78% 76% 96% 94% 92% 90% 88% 86% 84% 82% 80% 78% 76% Top performers Top 20% performers Average Average performers 20% perfomers 50% 50% Bottom Bottom perfomers performers 30% 30% 0 118% % 28% Maintenance Cost (% Revenue) Maintenance Cost (% Revenue) SOURCE: Aberdeen Benchmarking Survey

17 Greater Pressure on Operator Training and Competence Aging workforce in mature economies Young workforce in emerging markets Retention issues in some industries Operator still leading cause of process incidents 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% % of Workforce Over 50 in EU* 5% 0% *NOTE : Data for EU15 15 Member States of European Union as on 31 Dec 2003 SOURCE: The Emergence of Age Management in Europe; International Journal of Organizational Behavior

18 Remote Operations for Challenging Operating Conditions Codelco Mines Top of the Andes Access to remote locations Increased safety CAPEX consolidation and savings OPEX savings Chevron Frade Bottom of the Ocean

19 Agenda Foreword Global Manufacturing and CAPEX trends Industrial Automation Imperatives My Priorities for HPS

20 My Priorities for HPS: Your Safety HPS Operator Training and Alarm Management Help Reduce Incidents Seamless Integration with Entire Honeywell Offering: Fire and Gas Infrastructure Process Safety Mobile Gas Detection Operator Effectiveness Alarm Management Operator Training

21 My Priorities for HPS: Maximize Your Reliability Process & Equipment Health Monitoring Improved Customer Service with Tight Metrics on Responsiveness New Service Programs (e.g., Assurance 360) Investment in Remote Field Tools Changing the Service Model for Simpler Phased Migrations

22 My Priorities for HPS: Continued Technology Leadership HPS is Committed to Investing in R&D with Inputs from Customer Advisory Boards and VOCs Experion Orion Build-out New Migration Options Advanced Solutions Delivering Safety, Reliability Rapid Expansion of Field Product Portfolio Control Room of the Future

23 My Priorities for HPS: Protecting Your Assets Asset Management Cyber Security Operator Training Modules Audits, Diagnostics, Remediation and On-going Support

24 My Priorities for HPS: Your Control Room of Tomorrow HPS is Leading the Way Minimize Effectiveness Cycle Time for New Operators Ease of Use Improved Ergonomics Collaboration and Knowledge Sharing

25