Exploring Utah's Information Technology Labor Migration. Cory Stahle, Senior Economist, Utah Department of Workforce Services
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1 Exploring Utah's Information Technology Labor Migration Cory Stahle, Senior Economist, Utah Department of Workforce Services
2 A Little Warmup
3 Why We Did the Research 3
4 How much does in-migration of labor support Utah s IT industry? 4
5 How It Was Done: Definitions IT - Industries with high concentration of coding occupations (from OES staffing patterns) Coders - Software Developers (Applications and Systems Software), Computer Programmers & Computer Systems Analysts IT Industries (Core IT) - Software Publishing (5112) & Computer Systems Design (5415) 5
6 How It Was Done: Data Sources Utah Unemployment Insurance Microdata American Community Survey s Public Use Microdata Sample (Census Bureau) Occupational Employment Statistics (BLS) Regional Price Parity Index (BEA) 6
7 How do we measure migration? 7
8 Components of Employment Change Current workers changing industries in-state (switchers) Workers new to Unemployment Insurance (UI) wage records first-time workers, unemployed individuals returning to work or hires from out-of-state. Workers exiting UI wage records - includes retirements, deaths, fires/lay-offs or workers leaving the state. 8
9 Measuring the Components: Switchers LAST QUARTER NAME SSN NAICS Jason Sarah Susan Carl Maddie CURRENT QUARTER NAME SSN NAICS Jason Sarah Susan Carl Maddie JASON SWITCHES OUT (-1 IT JOB) CARL SWITCHES IN (+1 IT JOB) 9
10 Utah Workers Switching In and Out of IT 10
11 Measuring the Components: New UI Records Includes: First-time workers Unemployed individuals returning to work Hires from out-of-state LAST QUARTER NAME SSN NAICS Jason Sarah Susan Carl Maddie CURRENT QUARTER NAME SSN NAICS Jason Sarah Susan Carl Maddie Paul Dana Frank
12 Measuring the Components: New UI Records Includes: First-time workers Unemployed individuals returning to work Hires from out-of-state LAST QUARTER NAME SSN NAICS Jason Sarah Susan Carl Maddie CURRENT QUARTER NAME SSN NAICS Jason Sarah Susan Carl Maddie Paul Dana Frank
13 CURRENT QUARTER NAME SSN NAICS Jason Measuring the Components: Sarah New 3111 UI Records Susan Carl Maddie CURRENT QUARTER 5415 NAME Paul SSN NAICS 5415 Dana Jason Frank Sarah Susan Carl Maddie Paul Dana NEW RECORD Frank OUT-OF-STATE DETIRMINATION MADE IF: 2. NON-UTAH SSN AREA CODE 3. NOT SEEN IN UI RECORDS PREVIOUSLY (BACK TO YEAR 2000) 13
14 Out-of-State Hires v. All New Entrants 14
15 Measuring the Components: UI Record Exits LAST QUARTER NAME SSN NAICS Jason Sarah Susan Carl Maddie THIS QUARTER NAME SSN NAICS Jason Sarah Susan Carl Maddie Includes: Retirements, deaths, fires/lay-offs, workers leaving the state 15
16 Out-of-State Hires v. IT Workers Exiting Wage Records 16
17 Bringing It All Together Gross Jobs Added by Component 17
18 Limitations SSN Area codes have a limited age range (7 to 45 years) State residents with non-state SSN or UI history No demographic information from UI Catch-all nature of wage record exits 18
19 Other Findings Used American Community Survey for demographics. Two approached roughly equal in migration numbers 6,852 (ACS) and 6,325 (UI) from 2013 to 2016 Calculated flow of coders for tech cities. Statistically significant relationship between cost-of-living adjusted wages and migration 50 percent of coders moving to Utah have a bachelor s degree or above compared to 75 percent of those leaving the state. 19
20 Thank You! Cory Stahle Senior Economist Utah Department of Workforce Services
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